MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc71a3293fbb1cde52d0f35e6d581f053a6739d041665525f43a8a3e5a8bcf7e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Mets, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 8c | 14,710$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.61 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Phillies | 48c | 10,076$4,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,826.84 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mets | 52c | 9,980$5,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,790.19 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Phillies | 21c | 9,825$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.38 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mets | 51c | 8,801$4,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312.57 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…69b2backed Phillies | 49c | 8,149$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,993.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 8c | 7,557$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.59 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 48c | 6,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 52c | 5,368$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.33 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mets | 57c | 5,363$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.51 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Phillies | 52c | 4,674$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.44 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Mets | 53c | 3,573$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.44 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Phillies | 2c | 3,455$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Phillies | 42c | 3,375$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.62 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 28c | 3,278$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Phillies | 1c | 3,004$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mets | 53c | 3,000$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.24 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Mets | 61c | 2,965$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.9 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 49c | 2,776$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.83 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb257…254bbacked Phillies | 50c | 2,683$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1373…1a7bbacked Mets | 50c | 2,682$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Mets | 52c | 2,605$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.05 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Mets | 60c | 2,396$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.87 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Phillies | 48c | 2,326$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.56 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Phillies | 47c | 2,084$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.42 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Phillies | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.1 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Phillies | 1c | 2,045$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Mets | 71c | 2,010$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.91 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Phillies | 45c | 1,976$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Phillies | 48c | 1,915$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.43 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Phillies | 45c | 1,877$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 49c | 1,840$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.01 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 41c | 1,808$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.4 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Phillies | 2c | 1,750$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Mets | 70c | 1,689$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.44 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mets | 66c | 1,625$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.5 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 47c | 1,348$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.35 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Phillies | 48c | 1,299$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.4 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Mets | 49c | 1,208$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.91 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Mets | 52c | 1,144$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.12 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Mets | 68c | 1,076$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.45 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Phillies | 33c | 1,006$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.41 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mets | 51c | 1,001$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.39 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Phillies | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Mets | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Phillies | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Phillies | 51c | 984.24$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…b626backed Mets | 52c | 874$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…c866backed Phillies | 48c | 874$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Mets | 52c | 813.1$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.29 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Phillies | 47c | 708.02$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10c…4a2cbacked Phillies | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Phillies | 8c | 627.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Phillies | 45c | 612.93$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Phillies | 12c | 605.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Phillies | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mets | 49c | 599.96$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.98 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Mets | 53c | 566.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.23 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Phillies | 49c | 545.71$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.4 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Mets | 59c | 534.36$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.99 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mets | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Phillies | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Phillies | 50c | 491$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Phillies | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Mets | 73c | 463.8$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Phillies | 55c | 455.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mets | 62c | 455$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.8 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Phillies | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Mets | 59c | 390.51$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.51 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Phillies | 51c | 388.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Phillies | 48c | 375$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Mets | 57c | 367.45$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.97 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Mets | 56c | 357.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.49 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 50c | 350.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.25 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Mets | 55c | 350.24$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.61 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Phillies | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Mets | 38c | 316.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.31 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Phillies | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 57c | 310.04$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.67 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 46c | 302.6$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…01b4backed Mets | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Phillies | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Phillies | 48c | 279.96$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.38 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Mets | 50c | 271.14$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.57 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Phillies | 63c | 268.33$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.05 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Phillies | 41c | 260$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Phillies | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Mets | 72c | 208$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58df…fdfabacked Mets | 66c | 204.63$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Phillies | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Mets | 50c | 200.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…9917backed Phillies | 52c | 200.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4777…1e79backed Phillies | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.