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MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$781,689
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$798,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $781,689 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65e4…a3bdbacked Padres54c466,488$253,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253,283.3310844.4%48 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Rangers46c309,957$141,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168,760.886751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Rangers53c61,990$32,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,160.7113262.9%83 W · 49 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+93.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Padres9c38,441$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,480.4617927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers45c29,801$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,300.231,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Rangers47c28,297$13,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,997.4120850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Rangers47c21,500$10,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,39544456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Padres5c19,748$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.2523545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Padres54c12,459$6,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,727.72846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Padres1c11,441$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.341,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers58c10,266$5,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,283.69,86246.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L+40.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7225…293abacked Padres53c8,559$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5004047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Padres48c7,263$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50024154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Padres55c6,700$3,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,68869249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers46c6,500$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5101,15749.2%569 W · 588 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Rangers55c6,403$3,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,873.1925550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers47c5,686$2,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0392,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Padres22c4,866$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.912,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rangers46c3,480$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.191,92453.4%1,028 W · 896 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Rangers45c3,005$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.6514546.2%67 W · 78 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Padres50c2,888$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.8653448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rangers46c2,187$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.3197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers46c2,055$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.5338047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Padres54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9971751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a7f…4cd8backed Padres36c1,933$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.974938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Padres2c1,854$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.818762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed Rangers80c1,845$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.141989.5%17 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick74cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Rangers47c1,806$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.450852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Padres41c1,724$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,21940.4%493 W · 726 L-33.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rangers59c1,549$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.1132852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Padres56c1,350$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75658852.9%311 W · 277 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Padres38c1,321$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.762846.2%290 W · 338 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Padres8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3382…dcfbbacked Rangers45c1,200$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.11944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd55d…2a37backed Padres55c1,200$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Padres54c1,113$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60013553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Padres6c1,083$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6515644.9%70 W · 86 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Rangers47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8313450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Rangers47c1,008$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.2437446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Padres53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53021941.1%90 W · 129 L-19.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Padres53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53095950.1%480 W · 479 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rangers47c999.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Padres47c888.21$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.3418748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e98…0ab2backed Padres15c782.54$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.432060%12 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rangers46c778$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.2973352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Padres53c750$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.51,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7474…4ebabacked Rangers43c718.93$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.363941%16 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeec7…08c6backed Padres40c703.43$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.673053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Rangers44c650$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36415553.5%83 W · 72 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked Padres54c648.76$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.3310143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Padres2c600$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.55862%12 W · 574 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Padres55c559.74$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3085341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Padres41c549.76$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22630842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Padres46c531.48$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24728453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Padres56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28024248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Rangers46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.786946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Padres4c402.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.914754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Padres34c401.19$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13852542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x385a…08d1backed Padres29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1164626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rangers46c400$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21831145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Padres11c362$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5368656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Padres55c329.41$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.181,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Padres35c315.32$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11057545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Rangers75c302.83$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3113138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rangers48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1562,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Padres6c297.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.781,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e93…a140backed Padres54c275$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers66c269.37$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.864,19750.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Rangers69c268.07$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8580680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Rangers46c261.07$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7385047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Padres53c260.92$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1816347.2%77 W · 86 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Padres42c260.36$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.352828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-41.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Padres9c242.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.837035.7%25 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres54c235$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.92,05853.8%1,107 W · 951 L+33.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers45c221.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.562,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Rangers46c218$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7240548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Rangers47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7725954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Rangers48c208.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5431356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063,31446.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Padres8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Rangers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10817139.2%67 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe870…6bf8backed Padres54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Padres47c189.47$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.592754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rangers46c189.12$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.135,23556.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L+130.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Rangers56c177.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4517754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed Rangers47c174.46$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4625952.5%136 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb14b…44bdbacked Padres66c164$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.241070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Rangers54c162.19$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9980955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c6…4162backed Rangers49c157$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.237560%45 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked Padres66c119.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.214864.2%95 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Padres20c119.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5638743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Padres54c112$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4814146.8%66 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Padres42c111.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710537.1%39 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Rangers63c109.28$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0842955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Rangers47c104.43$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.351,41548.9%692 W · 723 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Rangers47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5338949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ce…9743backed Padres54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546256.5%35 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fbc…5d23backed Rangers60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Rangers46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5424444.3%108 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.