MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5a6f695f11eee35ec481fb225616cc08358f052bd0d7750a9918c85deb07846
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Mets, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $508,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $517,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Mets | 48c | 146,852$71,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,203.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 50c | 55,924$28,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,730.61 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Mets | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,499.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Red Sox | 45c | 46,091$20,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,350.17 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 45,076$23,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,191.57 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…924abacked Mets | 55c | 36,877$20,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,282.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7729backed Red Sox | 45c | 35,514$15,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,532.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Mets | 56c | 32,647$18,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,190 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…5986backed Red Sox | 45c | 26,419$11,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,530.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bf…0404backed Mets | 55c | 25,439$13,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,991.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 52c | 23,012$11,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,114.16 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Red Sox | 45c | 20,000$8,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,001.93 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Red Sox | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,199.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Red Sox | 72c | 19,180$13,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280.24 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Red Sox | 63c | 17,650$11,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,567.76 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Mets | 55c | 12,831$7,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,018.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Mets | 24c | 12,352$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Mets | 52c | 10,850$5,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,678.66 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…d309backed Red Sox | 46c | 10,000$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5c…151ebacked Mets | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Red Sox | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.64 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 72c | 7,763$5,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.82 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Red Sox | 46c | 6,846$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,721.05 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mets | 54c | 5,764$3,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104.02 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Red Sox | 77c | 5,606$4,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.75 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Mets | 18c | 4,800$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.93 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3339…48a5backed Red Sox | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Red Sox | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.99 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Mets | 53c | 4,431$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.97 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Red Sox | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.97 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Mets | 55c | 3,605$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox | 46c | 3,250$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.97 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mets | 54c | 3,016$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.69 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Mets | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Red Sox | 44c | 2,786$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.77 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Red Sox | 46c | 2,751$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Mets | 53c | 2,479$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.9 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1f…20c8backed Red Sox | 43c | 2,065$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Mets | 57c | 2,008$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.56 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Red Sox | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…22f1backed Red Sox | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 46c | 1,957$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.88 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…9528backed Red Sox | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Red Sox | 47c | 1,877$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.81 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mets | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mets | 3c | 1,584$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Red Sox | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec1…94c3backed Mets | 55c | 1,365$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4b…19cfbacked Red Sox | 45c | 1,291$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Mets | 26c | 1,245$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.87 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…2b66backed Red Sox | 45c | 1,209$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…8e5dbacked Mets | 57c | 1,140$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8591…9abebacked Mets | 55c | 1,135$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Red Sox | 62c | 1,105$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.94 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Red Sox | 47c | 1,099$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe22…cd4ebacked Mets | 55c | 1,038$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28b3…bfdbbacked Mets | 55c | 982$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…82debacked Mets | 55c | 962$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Red Sox | 47c | 943.81$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.81 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…ccbbbacked Mets | 57c | 925$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be8…8df9backed Mets | 55c | 918$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Sox | 46c | 905.45$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.94 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Red Sox | 73c | 900$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2012…128fbacked Mets | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mets | 11c | 882.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mets | 56c | 854.71$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.8 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mets | 2c | 806.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…958cbacked Mets | 55c | 730$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…3141backed Red Sox | 45c | 730$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mets | 55c | 727.37$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mets | 28c | 621.78$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.95 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox | 44c | 617.22$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.64 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36e…a46cbacked Mets | 55c | 601.82$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mets | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…13e3backed Mets | 49c | 488.02$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mets | 57c | 468.91$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Mets | 34c | 468.29$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Red Sox | 47c | 442$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.26 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…1a5ebacked Red Sox | 46c | 430.85$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Red Sox | 67c | 428.3$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.34 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mets | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Red Sox | 75c | 399.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad6…b329backed Mets | 56c | 375.05$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Red Sox | 47c | 372.34$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b1…8a14backed Mets | 56c | 361.75$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe956…64adbacked Red Sox | 46c | 357.7$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mets | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869e…2f30backed Red Sox | 46c | 349.22$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f4…fd6fbacked Red Sox | 46c | 337.2$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Red Sox | 47c | 329.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.79 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…5150backed Mets | 56c | 328.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Red Sox | 67c | 322.84$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…8ff2backed Mets | 56c | 318.59$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 21c | 301.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d7…a31dbacked Mets | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mets | 30c | 297.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Mets | 31c | 277.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mets | 43c | 259.69$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.