NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fb9cc6a287ac33589c3f23688470e4738c41a08ca8b28e954b79cb6d8e00f00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Magic, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $990,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $932,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $990,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic | 14c | 143,269$20,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,707 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Magic | 15c | 129,761$19,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,010.98 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Magic | 16c | 68,246$11,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,220.43 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Magic | 21c | 56,427$12,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,016.92 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Magic | 14c | 44,408$6,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,217.16 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8a…d9eabacked Magic | 9c | 41,505$3,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,681.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Magic | 26c | 28,000$7,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,279.99 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Celtics | 76c | 25,131$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,931.23 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…3d40backed Magic | 13c | 20,471$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Magic | 1c | 19,644$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.67 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Celtics | 77c | 19,189$14,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,348.03 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Celtics | 78c | 18,498$14,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042.58 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 24c | 17,156$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.57 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Magic | 14c | 16,001$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.12 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Celtics | 76c | 15,066$11,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,649.26 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…94d9backed Magic | 0c | 10,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Magic | 1c | 10,322$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.68 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…eb70backed Magic | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 22cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Magic | 15c | 9,095$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.47 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Celtics | 77c | 9,066$6,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.66 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Magic | 2c | 8,197$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Magic | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Magic | 16c | 7,832$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.52 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Magic | 16c | 5,445$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.65 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4727…aa86backed Magic | 13c | 5,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Magic | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Magic | 16c | 4,521$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.2 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…3ce7backed Celtics | 79c | 3,850$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Magic | 15c | 3,526$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.23 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8b…9ddfbacked Magic | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 18c | 3,488$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.52 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 21c | 3,464$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.35 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Magic | 1c | 3,380$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Magic | 16c | 3,360$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.2 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Magic | 14c | 3,083$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.55 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 12c | 2,852$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.24 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Magic | 19c | 2,644$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.08 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Magic | 24c | 2,568$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.43 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Magic | 1c | 2,155$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Celtics | 79c | 2,147$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.62 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Magic | 5c | 2,100$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Celtics | 78c | 2,100$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Celtics | 77c | 2,078$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.01 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Magic | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…7bbebacked Celtics | 79c | 2,000$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Magic | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…310cbacked Magic | 14c | 1,970$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Magic | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de0…12c1backed Magic | 6c | 1,851$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Magic | 12c | 1,779$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +7.8wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…8c39backed Magic | 10c | 1,765$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Magic | 27c | 1,750$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Magic | 1c | 1,705$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Magic | 18c | 1,652$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.04 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd656…d127backed Magic | 25c | 1,641$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Magic | 8c | 1,510$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Magic | 16c | 1,455$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.86 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd616…1106backed Magic | 32c | 1,305$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.59 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…3696backed Magic | 2c | 1,243$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Magic | 13c | 1,195$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.78 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…34b9backed Magic | 1c | 1,189$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Magic | 16c | 1,175$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.92 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…5664backed Magic | 15c | 1,167$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…dc24backed Magic | 15c | 1,145$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Magic | 15c | 1,120$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Magic | 24c | 1,100$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Magic | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…6291backed Magic | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Celtics | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188d…6583backed Magic | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 23c | 976.06$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.07 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…e722backed Magic | 16c | 973.33$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Magic | 29c | 918.1$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…38aabacked Magic | 8c | 906.21$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 22c | 891.88$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.21 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Celtics | 76c | 876.32$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.32 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Magic | 23c | 793.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Magic | 32c | 761.88$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.8 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Magic | 14c | 720$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Celtics | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Celtics | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Magic | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd447…f42cbacked Magic | 24c | 664.58$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb68…533dbacked Magic | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…2182backed Celtics | 77c | 616.67$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Magic | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Magic | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Magic | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Magic | 4c | 579.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Magic | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…1ddbbacked Magic | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a4…f43ebacked Magic | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Celtics | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…d612backed Celtics | 76c | 467.89$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…b69abacked Magic | 21c | 452.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Magic | 8c | 450$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Celtics | 69c | 449$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.71 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…9026backed Magic | 17c | 421.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.