TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham win on 2025-01-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,464 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8c4…7385backed No38c6,988$2,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,342.5632037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes18c5,362$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.3437841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Yes64c3,966$2,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.532454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No52c3,892$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,867.9729751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No36c3,463$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.1440254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes4c3,108$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1279639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.9141437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes26c2,586$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.344553.3%24 W · 21 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+55.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No39c2,537$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.7113547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Yes62c2,509$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.881553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes22c2,289$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5919743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes2c2,100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3311937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed No76c1,670$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.361850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No67c1,596$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.2615347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e4…1b25backed Yes67c1,502$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Yes64c1,500$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9602050%10 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes2c1,387$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.745635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes62c1,338$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.1544939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed No74c1,212$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.192560%15 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Yes61c1,200$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7323644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9860…ea56backed Yes22c1,120$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No55c1,017$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.6679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes62c999.99$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6207651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes63c952.38$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Yes61c950.72$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.943545.7%16 W · 19 L-7.2wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-38.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No40c892.74$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.490751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes62c841.34$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.825429.6%16 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes67c747.95$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Yes63c741.11$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.93151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes61c708.98$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.486838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes63c674.86$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.9129044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Yes64c655.64$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.611553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes28c654.94$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.029027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes19c650.62$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9766031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No39c618.38$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.2125836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No37c587.57$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.1722050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Yes63c509.41$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.934252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf96d…dafdbacked Yes65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3251050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf87…69b2backed Yes63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003020%6 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-46.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed No71c406.89$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1185131.4%16 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf19…4b21backed Yes64c404.34$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefaa…0af8backed Yes5c402.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-45%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed No56c399.97$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.981546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No37c364.6$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.711846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes63c350$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.47651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes29c348.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes63c331.7$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.973240.6%13 W · 19 L-7.5wins-0.23per pick64cpaid-37.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes30c331.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004926.5%13 W · 36 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-44.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No45c330$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18269772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb861…834cbacked Yes62c327.91$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd774…e11fbacked Yes64c312.72$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Yes20c302.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes61c299.99$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9932822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes55c280$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d00…82f1backed Yes10c272.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5228…93eebacked Yes64c262.61$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes60c259.61$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7616660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b1…d2e6backed No78c257.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.61757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes60c250$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518149.4%40 W · 41 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes63c250$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.529653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a31…fed2backed Yes63c239.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ac…3e33backed Yes17c231.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Yes61c229.51$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404839.6%19 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes62c224.27$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14013449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc047…889cbacked Yes10c214.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d7…93b4backed No74c205.47$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No39c202.29$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12437652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Yes23c200$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12842755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x541e…e793backed No39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1221747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb65d…3757backed Yes62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1242853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No37c199.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9937054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12e1…51f6backed Yes7c198.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.279534.7%33 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f4…0834backed No39c192.49$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf3…cf5dbacked Yes10c191.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0b…f974backed Yes64c190$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.11560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No36c167.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9156158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0304…dcc7backed Yes61c160.55$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9440%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a07…7768backed Yes62c160$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad01…0400backed Yes61c156.6$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.261369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+93.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa34a…f415backed Yes64c156.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf305…4c09backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26e8…2176backed Yes65c154.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Yes63c145.19$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.475046%23 W · 27 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes22c145$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.821463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcb…09b8backed Yes62c144.79$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24dd…87fbbacked Yes71c141$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45b2…0c1abacked Yes63c132.21$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.29850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5860…acbcbacked Yes61c131.2$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8944…7443backed No38c127.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.56580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick37cpaid+113%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a72…ce3ebacked Yes62c125.16$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-77.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2174…6de5backed Yes61c122.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0240%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f7f…d498backed Yes22c121.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.85429.6%16 W · 38 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid+5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddfa…4678backed Yes63c111.59$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.112445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No39c109.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0934251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13e1…9c95backed Yes20c108.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2f1…f229backed Yes61c101.64$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627949.4%39 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.