Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich win on 2025-01-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa09a74d8a172b8dbc90722aca024c89a954743b063a7ab75ccab589a32d23602
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc069…c978backed Yes | 13c | 6,208$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed No | 61c | 5,725$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.75 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 39c | 5,205$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.95 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 16c | 5,008$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.18 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 11c | 4,512$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.99 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 41c | 2,369$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.11 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,009$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 15c | 999.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 67c | 873.76$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.37 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 60c | 670.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.33 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…15e2backed Yes | 72c | 640.03$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yes | 74c | 595.02$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 18c | 567.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes | 78c | 514.47$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.29 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked No | 50c | 499.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 63c | 441.38$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.88 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Yes | 37c | 415.31$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.02 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed No | 31c | 408.31$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.8 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 59c | 390$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 50c | 355.42$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.71 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 57c | 314.28$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.28 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Yes | 53c | 303.16$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.68 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 27c | 286.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…62d2backed Yes | 65c | 266.22$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…a9a4backed No | 60c | 233.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce48…3a25backed Yes | 49c | 202.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb04c…b6ccbacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…53c8backed Yes | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172f…fc8bbacked Yes | 78c | 192.69$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…6de5backed Yes | 17c | 191.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 51c | 146.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e0…8412backed Yes | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x582e…5087backed Yes | 18c | 136.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…b6ebbacked No | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…caa6backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…0a9abacked Yes | 42c | 99.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…753cbacked No | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…a605backed Yes | 72c | 80.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked No | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f25…1462backed No | 62c | 70.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…35b3backed Yes | 16c | 62.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked No | 51c | 55.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…9858backed Yes | 67c | 54.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd784…26a3backed No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bf64backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddfa…4678backed Yes | 50c | 41.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb54…6e4bbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…5fd4backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 53c | 36.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 44c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…3a76backed No | 72c | 29.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 70c | 28.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 74c | 27.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…6fc6backed No | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…6db4backed Yes | 73c | 18.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5228…93eebacked Yes | 73c | 14.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-01-05?this page
- Will Fulham vs. Ipswich end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-01-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.