South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Santos Laguna vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8de0bd129c4af1275bfbae9814dbc99718e7cd9dcab0b6c6972b78a7f8b78285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 1,802$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.57 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 1,219$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.14 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Yes | 77c | 1,200$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 27c | 954.07$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.31 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 751.22$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.98 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 453.09$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.66 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 28c | 339.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Yes | 79c | 202.92$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec1…29dcbacked Yes | 28c | 181.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 72c | 132$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked No | 72c | 113$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 48c | 107.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Yes | 28c | 105.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 72c | 86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked No | 72c | 67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…47bcbacked Yes | 63c | 66.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 77c | 64.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 58c | 64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 24c | 59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 57.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 53c | 45.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…c91abacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 35c | 38.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd3…3a42backed Yes | 56c | 38.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 73c | 25.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 73c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…c9e9backed Yes | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 71c | 16.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Santos Laguna vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-01-18?No won
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.