South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72740f13538fbaafebce023619de82cd452645c9929161fa57e44d23ed3b7b73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Yes | 21c | 6,900$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 5,422$4,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.29 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 2,019$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.04 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 79c | 1,437$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.76 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 1,127$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.77 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 30c | 992.9$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.78 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 32c | 972$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.44 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 33c | 612$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.28 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 56c | 599.08$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.3 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 43c | 511.6$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.77 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 502.86$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.35 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 66c | 357$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.59 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…352cbacked Yes | 33c | 244.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 30c | 232.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 34c | 190.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec1…29dcbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 51c | 175$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 31c | 106$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 35c | 102.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 40c | 82.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 63c | 74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c1…1c3dbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 79c | 51.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 45c | 46.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 27c | 37.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Yes | 57c | 27.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed No | 68c | 27.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 78c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed No | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…e65abacked No | 48c | 24.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed No | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…92c2backed Yes | 56c | 23.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…9654backed No | 68c | 18.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked No | 66c | 17.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 69c | 15.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will Club Santos Laguna vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.