TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,572
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,572 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed No57c149,670$85,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,675.789649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes43c100,025$43,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,868.52744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes43c10,601$4,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,048.7741339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes42c10,250$4,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,897.1277751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes42c6,255$2,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,624.3397146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Yes42c4,746$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,746.033046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes48c4,698$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,435.947748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea57…e1debacked Yes54c2,012$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes42c1,786$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.719151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf38d…18cebacked Yes42c1,665$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes42c1,650$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.272259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Yes43c1,628$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.91580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+63.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed Yes74c1,249$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes43c937.11$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.223228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No56c886.33$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.4491553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c871.58$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.53,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes42c761$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.385056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes42c735.34$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.323548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No56c721.85$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.8855750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes42c714.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.291346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed No10c701.54$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes42c640.49$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.496142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes42c574$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.4237649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes46c546.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.8815144.4%67 W · 84 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes44c499$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.442860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Yes42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.191040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked Yes44c384.09$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes44c359.18$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.3613942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes42c358$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.6423858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes44c351$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.712748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No56c342.17$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.4942947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes42c341$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.7820648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes45c326.3$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0923643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes48c293.6$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.134447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No56c271.49$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2480358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes44c252.9$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6810319.4%20 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes45c246.58$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.362941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No57c232.07$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1268550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No36c228.41$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8345140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes44c216.01$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.993351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked No59c198.85$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.22965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No55c196.95$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.653046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No68c189.87$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1187154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf787…7b27backed Yes43c176.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.571369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+39.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes26c171.3$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.111,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Yes43c154.88$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.281442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2f…99f9backed Yes43c139.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c30…d9e5backed Yes44c138.64$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No59c138.34$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0737138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes42c132.52$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.867334.2%25 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Yes42c131.62$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.342259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No56c128.74$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.738563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes75c127.73$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3521545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Yes42c123.53$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.651668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No57c117.71$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.573863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02a…f293backed Yes73c110$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No29c106.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed No61c106.65$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655961%36 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No57c104$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0439234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No25c100.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.624920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5524326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ea…18e7backed Yes42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed No54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Yes48c91.92$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.22450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb7…a4b4backed Yes43c90.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.15255.8%29 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes42c88.93$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.174845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No57c88.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.179458.5%55 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No57c88.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.179452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed No14c87.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed No57c84.54$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.11942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Yes31c80$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.22227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes45c78.13$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.063743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd1d…9669backed Yes43c77.37$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Yes42c75.43$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.751952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Yes42c75.43$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.752931%9 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb38…f78dbacked No57c72.87$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed No57c72.87$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.541323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes43c71.55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7815458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No56c71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.76977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.33per pick45cpaid+102.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes71c70.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.244456.8%25 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99c4…0cccbacked Yes44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.181250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes42c65.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.936454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes30c65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.47953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bbf…8d1ebacked Yes43c60.88$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8d…a92abacked Yes42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No56c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.34959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3588…1006backed Yes77c58.44$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Yes43c56.08$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.977542.7%32 W · 43 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02e7…2519backed No55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe129…fef1backed Yes45c53.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.332540%10 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No57c52.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.218552.9%45 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Yes42c51.95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.131752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed No55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ba…56c1backed Yes45c48.22$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03db…ce20backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc547…bdaabacked Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd573…f99ebacked Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.