Mls · resolved market
Will Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24e995d2d2dbc8ab5e24a5438dd24ba4cd914b5be278bef0eb9b4dc15e471bf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 1,923$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.65 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 23c | 1,245$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.2 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 511.51$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 27c | 224.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 220.54$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 176.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 150.86$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 27c | 132.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 29c | 116.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 70c | 106.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 23c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 77.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed No | 74c | 71.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 61.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede9…3778backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 59.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 78c | 58.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 78c | 58.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 78c | 58.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 78c | 58.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 78c | 58.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed No | 78c | 58.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 78c | 58.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 78c | 58.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 78c | 58.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 78c | 58.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 78c | 58.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 78c | 58.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…916abacked Yes | 21c | 52.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed Yes | 27c | 45.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 43c | 35.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 70c | 19.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?this page
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.