TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Token Launches · resolved market

Will Coinbase announce another coin as next listing?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$588,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$565,188

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $588,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8bb5…b365backed No1c163,567$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.0720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacd9…3d87backed No2c132,882$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,088.721154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick28cpaid+74.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44c1…ebc1backed No4c128,170$4,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,690.31825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-62.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2653…d0f4backed No0c60,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick2cpaid+2,410.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes69c18,640$12,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,801.314320.9%9 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0302…f3fabacked No1c7,264$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes39c7,006$2,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,260.01850%4 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+108.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Yes75c4,828$3,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.981822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-57.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96a4…4d01backed Yes12c2,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+190.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes1c1,986$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.82456.7%3 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+272.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes6c1,346$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.281154.5%6 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick24cpaid+331.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed Yes13c1,246$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.53560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick25cpaid+175.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c2f…1a88backed Yes55c1,100$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.2366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes11c780.47$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.362045%9 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+281.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x551b…b6afbacked Yes4c754.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.89812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+217.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd853…fb3abacked Yes5c660.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.321100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+2,101.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf495…0072backed Yes63c634.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No8c604.07$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9310521.9%23 W · 82 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-44.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Yes2c600$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+1,150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5049…d20cbacked Yes4c500.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.17757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick25cpaid+401.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3485…70bcbacked Yes8c439.64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick8cpaid+1,233.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3f…4a49backed Yes32c415.55$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+135.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes16c299.81$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.43812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick3cpaid-22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes17c265.16$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.825623.2%13 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-46.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd69…b4babacked Yes49c263.46$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.55650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+626.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe13…7163backed Yes4c261.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.467100%7 W · 0 L+3.9wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+635.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Yes69c207.58$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.563831.6%12 W · 26 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-34.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No66c201.99$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2711833.9%40 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick34cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes42c200$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1171844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f66…f2afbacked Yes47c191.03$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.78560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+78.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x234f…e2ecbacked Yes55c182.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb5f…5c85backed Yes52c178.71$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.87875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes10c177.85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0716927.8%47 W · 122 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed No43c169.11$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.94238.7%2 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-61.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8308…4022backed Yes57c167.92$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes23c165.94$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+338.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e79…401abacked Yes55c152.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c60…45b8backed Yes16c150$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+219.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3978…2f24backed No51c146.96$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.623638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b6…6ab9backed Yes54c146.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.82650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef97…9790backed Yes50c139.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.284100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+121.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df5…8b4fbacked Yes9c135.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.861735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0b…88a9backed Yes55c127.26$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96f4…3d43backed Yes44c124.64$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+96.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ee8…3866backed Yes49c117.66$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefee…19a2backed Yes77c107.95$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.84650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea2…bc7cbacked Yes48c106.64$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+90.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes50c104$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5221540.5%87 W · 128 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes41c98.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.42218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-58.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb579…7b68backed Yes55c90.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9023…0e66backed Yes55c86.36$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc612…e8e2backed Yes55c85.85$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fd…ae78backed Yes54c80.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73d3…6015backed Yes53c78.89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.38580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+59.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3091…5894backed Yes58c74.11$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0457…c82bbacked Yes56c71.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.54475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+174.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x668d…97d2backed Yes55c70.68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1193…56ccbacked Yes55c70.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccaa…9066backed No43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.03616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f46…5671backed Yes58c64.22$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf660…0ae5backed Yes59c63.95$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb3c…84aabacked Yes44c63.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda6a…8685backed Yes59c61.4$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5104…ce43backed Yes56c60.84$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8db…d0e1backed Yes46c60.59$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74b6…e58cbacked Yes55c59.96$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x089e…0438backed Yes66c55.41$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x260c…2946backed Yes55c53.39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a4…2be7backed Yes55c52.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7677…9805backed Yes55c52.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c8…3f26backed Yes55c51.78$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f89…a40dbacked Yes54c51.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d4…f46abacked Yes39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick5cpaid-71.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes31c48.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3120422.1%45 W · 159 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2c2…ed19backed Yes55c48.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a40…504dbacked Yes57c47$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.01977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25e2…d6b8backed Yes60c46.76$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc822…fd06backed Yes44c45.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa88d…072dbacked Yes50c44.28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c86…3099backed Yes55c44.13$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc334…ba2cbacked Yes54c44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efc…5477backed Yes55c39.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82b5…ffd3backed Yes51c37.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da2…7bcabacked Yes55c36.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7583…1c22backed Yes56c35.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+545.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebd9…5cdcbacked Yes55c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdad7…bde6backed Yes56c34.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+614.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x343d…8231backed Yes35c33.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.833100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+435.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e30…1e50backed No40c33.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4450%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8770…0420backed Yes54c33.01$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21fe…5825backed Yes58c32.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d97…c5e5backed Yes55c29.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cb…8066backed Yes54c27.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63ea…421cbacked Yes56c26.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed No74c25.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.722020%4 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x740e…231ebacked Yes60c24.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36fc…3264backed Yes55c23.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x367b…e30dbacked Yes58c23.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed No77c23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.