Token Launches · resolved market
Will Coinbase announce Peanut the Squirrel as next listing?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c04a40cf07c1588d676bf43f07400d0f57d95e0ed51f77c271db3db004a3676
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $465,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $465,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bb5…b365backed Yes | 1c | 217,855$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…cb5abacked Yes | 0c | 44,053$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50df…eb41backed Yes | 0c | 41,882$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae61…4e32backed Yes | 0c | 24,458$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 31c | 18,878$5,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,816.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 44c | 9,781$4,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,488.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed Yes | 9c | 7,757$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 28cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 3c | 3,306$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,206.73 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +281.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…e90dbacked No | 3c | 3,132$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +465.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 2c | 3,124$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.85 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf42…5230backed No | 45c | 1,908$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 13c | 1,806$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.18 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…9720backed No | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6585…fca4backed Yes | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…dec2backed Yes | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf000…9531backed No | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…4a49backed No | 63c | 1,386$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…1a88backed Yes | 68c | 1,111$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed No | 10c | 1,110$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +8.1wins | +0.63per pick | 14cpaid | +774.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf495…0072backed No | 46c | 864.98$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 18c | 778.65$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.77 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 4c | 677.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 38c | 651.17$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 24cpaid | +331.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…1e50backed Yes | 53c | 544.98$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 48c | 519.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.86 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 3c | 365.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.54 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 72c | 346.19$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.21 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 16c | 264.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 39c | 260$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe13…7163backed No | 6c | 187.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +635.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab3…9f4dbacked Yes | 57c | 175.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…bc7cbacked No | 42c | 170.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 42c | 154.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…9066backed Yes | 46c | 144.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d3…6015backed No | 44c | 125.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…8b4fbacked No | 28c | 107.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 17c | 105.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5982…96f6backed No | 45c | 92.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…e77abacked No | 43c | 86.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 23c | 80.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…19a2backed No | 45c | 74.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…ee05backed No | 45c | 73.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3019…4e4abacked No | 29c | 53.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +241.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…fd06backed No | 45c | 44.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208a…7e37backed No | 54c | 29.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ea…421cbacked No | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 70c | 22.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 204 | 22.1%45 W · 159 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16d6…c556backed Yes | 54c | 19.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf018…ff57backed Yes | 79c | 18.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…3d43backed No | 60c | 17.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coinbase announce Peanut the Squirrel as next listing?this page
- Will Coinbase announce Brett as next listing?No won
- Will Coinbase announce Goatseus Maximus as next listing?No won
- Will Coinbase announce Just a chill guy as next listing?No won
- Will Coinbase announce Neiro as next listing?No won
- Will Coinbase announce Popcat as next listing?No won
- Will Coinbase announce another coin as next listing?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.