TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Pacers, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$419,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$410,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 648 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Hawks69c79,174$54,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,610.9447656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Pacers32c61,302$19,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,557.2222049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Pacers29c56,134$16,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,374.3833931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks42c23,950$10,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,788.991,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Hawks72c18,071$13,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,979.8534532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Pacers23c16,813$3,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,887.9819451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Pacers38c13,101$5,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,022.7910926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers44c11,842$5,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,240.251,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks76c11,287$8,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,731.133,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Pacers56c5,999$3,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,359.3417546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Hawks44c5,580$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,124.825833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Hawks44c5,105$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,875.1737448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Hawks48c5,105$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,654.7425845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Hawks50c5,020$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.5320238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Pacers23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed Pacers31c4,588$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.623435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers50c4,514$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.6849849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dda…4cf6backed Pacers67c4,100$2,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7283666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Pacers49c4,091$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008251.2%42 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pacers30c4,015$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.615,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Pacers22c4,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88031935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Hawks50c3,000$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.856945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Pacers30c3,000$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.529747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Pacers28c2,714$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.9850047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Pacers8c2,690$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22034524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers53c2,421$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.292,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ff0…b3bdbacked Pacers1c2,286$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.22520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-65.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Pacers52c2,010$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.999038.9%35 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Hawks49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0208219.5%16 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Pacers50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00033752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Pacers55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10046342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Hawks48c1,909$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.730351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pacers54c1,662$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.981,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb703…6f88backed Pacers59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8851050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9718…fa5dbacked Hawks41c1,498$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.791154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Hawks42c1,466$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.2845743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c4…b73cbacked Pacers67c1,295$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pacers33c1,284$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.9970640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Pacers37c1,249$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.311,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Pacers35c1,223$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.4670951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Pacers21c1,200$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25225536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Pacers30c1,196$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.0217044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Pacers33c1,125$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.7847229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe780…d32dbacked Hawks41c1,060$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.41172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pacers57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57061345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d73…0dd6backed Pacers22c979.5$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pacers31c971.03$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9238027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pacers13c956.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.048783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Hawks42c952.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.3826124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pacers38c943.84$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.7288053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pacers47c933.43$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.750245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a7…b33abacked Pacers35c899.99$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3152540%10 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Pacers51c846.99$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.3516563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Pacers53c844.99$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.8512040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75b4…5aabbacked Pacers61c825.82$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017363.6%110 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c55…1846backed Pacers56c818.51$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4604161%25 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Hawks45c817.06$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.6661851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Pacers18c809.44$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1531125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Hawks50c770.84$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.8427848.9%136 W · 142 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Hawks41c737.91$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.3720153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hawks41c717.43$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.951,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Hawks27c672.62$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.0172341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Pacers60c668.95$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40026640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e28…9bc8backed Pacers59c659.97$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.38825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33cd…2449backed Hawks46c658.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.241553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+49.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pacers54c657.08$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.131,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pacers59c621$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.3977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Hawks49c599.98$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.9962351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2d…27e6backed Pacers9c582.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.418122.2%18 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Pacers51c547.54$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.2532130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Hawks80c525$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10511019.1%21 W · 89 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8946…a4f8backed Hawks47c506.38$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x870d…8426backed Hawks49c505.02$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pacers51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc6f…9d19backed Hawks51c494.98$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0c…76fabacked Pacers51c492.22$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.2310451%53 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Pacers40c481.91$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5127546.9%129 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hawks48c476$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.5276249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked Pacers34c466.84$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.457147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f5…216bbacked Hawks74c444$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hawks40c417.98$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.7957760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked Hawks69c408.47$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.615638.5%60 W · 96 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Pacers24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9678445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Hawks48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20868642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Pacers13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5247535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Pacers38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15251037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecb…f73abacked Pacers59c399.99$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.991040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8c…eb27backed Hawks46c347.83$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.836253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Pacers29c347.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023048.3%111 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Pacers44c318.18$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14066744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Hawks44c317.8$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9373647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pacers53c304.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4385542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Pacers38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11436434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Pacers58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17430351.8%157 W · 146 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Pacers21c295.8$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9637011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x824e…a9b6backed Hawks42c283.83$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.624949%24 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Pacers54c276.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Pacers51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3329661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Pacers17c246.03$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4365218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c56…5a66backed Hawks41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.911040.9%45 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.