NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dd5b75236f898e61cb38397f5c6423c5dddb14b1717938e91ba2720225680a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Wizards, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,515,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,295,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,515,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Wizards | 10c | 141,955$14,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,209.56 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Wizards | 29c | 134,770$38,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,071.33 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 10c | 116,306$11,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,519.51 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Wizards | 11c | 80,846$8,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,966.52 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Wizards | 10c | 60,001$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,900.97 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Wizards | 37c | 48,141$17,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,373.04 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Wizards | 11c | 34,415$3,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,628.97 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…d826backed Wizards | 10c | 34,257$3,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,831.43 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 22c | 33,170$7,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,804.64 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Wizards | 10c | 32,120$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,772.59 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Wizards | 12c | 25,634$3,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,558.24 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 12c | 25,058$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,051.37 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wizards | 11c | 23,875$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,247.16 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Wizards | 11c | 21,600$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,224 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Pistons | 61c | 19,361$11,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,714.47 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Pistons | 56c | 17,649$9,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,886.77 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…4cf6backed Wizards | 54c | 16,430$8,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,583.95 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Wizards | 10c | 15,007$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,496.57 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x963e…61ccbacked Wizards | 10c | 13,647$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,282.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Wizards | 10c | 12,045$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,795.09 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Wizards | 12c | 10,853$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,559.45 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Pistons | 77c | 10,500$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.98 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Wizards | 10c | 9,530$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,531.57 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Wizards | 21c | 9,190$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,260.14 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 11c | 7,850$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,970.21 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Wizards | 11c | 6,720$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,980.78 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Wizards | 12c | 5,978$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,277.91 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Wizards | 11c | 5,516$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,909.67 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards | 10c | 5,282$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,733.38 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b58…7273backed Wizards | 11c | 5,230$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,654.63 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Wizards | 31c | 5,182$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550.36 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pistons | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Wizards | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…5febbacked Wizards | 13c | 4,500$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,926.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 14c | 4,080$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,508.28 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Wizards | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Pistons | 3c | 3,795$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6390…5ee8backed Wizards | 16c | 3,215$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Pistons | 69c | 3,091$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.3 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Wizards | 29c | 2,940$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.19 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Pistons | 59c | 2,765$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.17 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Wizards | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.27 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wizards | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.03 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.99 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Wizards | 11c | 2,418$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.62 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards | 26c | 2,247$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.48 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Wizards | 31c | 2,138$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.92 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wizards | 10c | 2,051$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.15 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Wizards | 11c | 2,045$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.45 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Wizards | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Wizards | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Wizards | 11c | 2,000$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.98 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Pistons | 70c | 1,954$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.17 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Wizards | 10c | 1,909$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.07 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Wizards | 18c | 1,765$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.77 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Wizards | 11c | 1,745$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.45 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Wizards | 12c | 1,700$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Wizards | 18c | 1,671$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.59 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Wizards | 46c | 1,476$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.85 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Pistons | 47c | 1,299$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.66 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Pistons | 4c | 1,152$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Wizards | 11c | 1,115$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.56 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Wizards | 17c | 1,100$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Wizards | 12c | 1,096$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.57 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Wizards | 11c | 1,072$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.43 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Wizards | 56c | 1,070$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.18 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Pistons | 71c | 1,043$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.42 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Wizards | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Wizards | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 258 | 51.6%133 W · 125 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Pistons | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Wizards | 12c | 840$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.2 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Wizards | 12c | 838.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.83 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wizards | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Wizards | 10c | 800$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Wizards | 11c | 799.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.98 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Wizards | 12c | 769$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.72 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Wizards | 23c | 762.26$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.23 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Wizards | 21c | 700$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Wizards | 11c | 668.84$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.27 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…ea9abacked Wizards | 13c | 656.62$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.26 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Wizards | 12c | 640.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.36 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wizards | 11c | 635.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.99 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Pistons | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Pistons | 38c | 581.56$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.79 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Wizards | 64c | 552.39$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fea…4976backed Pistons | 43c | 549.58$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…5c2abacked Wizards | 11c | 527$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wizards | 11c | 504.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.95 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…3ad5backed Wizards | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards | 11c | 499.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.99 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Wizards | 11c | 497$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.33 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb5…87ecbacked Wizards | 12c | 494$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.41 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Pistons | 79c | 489.49$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.88 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Wizards | 14c | 472.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.93 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…5ddcbacked Wizards | 12c | 469.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.87 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Wizards | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.