NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0312be72637f76784d7f58440a1fbbc3f8d55d4e8068d6ecbc0ad0f5cfff6f55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Utah, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Lightning | 64c | 9,748$6,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.63 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Utah | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Utah | 36c | 4,875$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.98 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Lightning | 66c | 3,507$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.09 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Utah | 35c | 3,506$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.57 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Utah | 34c | 3,175$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.03 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Lightning | 66c | 2,951$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.28 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Utah | 34c | 2,621$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.13 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Utah | 35c | 2,560$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.97 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Lightning | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Utah | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.95 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Lightning | 66c | 2,273$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.73 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Utah | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Lightning | 65c | 1,944$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.4 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 79c | 1,636$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.97 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Utah | 36c | 1,556$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.16 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457c…fa41backed Lightning | 65c | 1,556$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…d55dbacked Utah | 35c | 1,554$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed Utah | 35c | 1,553$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…105bbacked Lightning | 65c | 1,550$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Lightning | 66c | 1,509$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.06 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Utah | 33c | 1,387$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.7 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Utah | 34c | 1,250$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.93 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lightning | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Utah | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Utah | 35c | 999.96$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.36 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…f887backed Lightning | 66c | 981.5$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.71 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Utah | 34c | 969.13$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.46 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lightning | 64c | 900$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Lightning | 65c | 803$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Utah | 35c | 799.85$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Lightning | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Utah | 33c | 756.11$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.71 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Lightning | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Utah | 35c | 612$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Utah | 34c | 600$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Utah | 34c | 588$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Lightning | 70c | 546.15$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.46 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Utah | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Utah | 36c | 422$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.92 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Lightning | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 64c | 399.98$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…672ebacked Utah | 36c | 324.14$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950d…d965backed Utah | 36c | 316.81$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.05 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Lightning | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Lightning | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Utah | 35c | 305$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Utah | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +55%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Lightning | 64c | 299.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6a44backed Lightning | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…b659backed Utah | 36c | 280.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfed…9510backed Lightning | 65c | 278.22$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Utah | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…2751backed Lightning | 65c | 274.75$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Lightning | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca0…18e2backed Lightning | 65c | 205.6$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…10d6backed Utah | 24c | 199.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…1b33backed Lightning | 65c | 188.66$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…6bdabacked Utah | 36c | 163$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab2…51d0backed Utah | 36c | 155.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 65c | 153.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Lightning | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Lightning | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Lightning | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Utah | 34c | 147$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…d650backed Utah | 36c | 146.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Utah | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…91edbacked Lightning | 65c | 135.06$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1700…da7fbacked Utah | 36c | 132.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61cb…1babbacked Utah | 36c | 95.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed Lightning | 66c | 95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…cc6dbacked Utah | 36c | 91.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…22cfbacked Lightning | 65c | 89.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…1beabacked Lightning | 65c | 89.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…3d93backed Lightning | 65c | 81.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…5642backed Lightning | 65c | 80.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Utah | 34c | 78.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Lightning | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d45bbacked Lightning | 65c | 74.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…5077backed Lightning | 65c | 71.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…65ecbacked Utah | 36c | 71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc35…4621backed Lightning | 65c | 70.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…1387backed Utah | 36c | 70.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9abe…404fbacked Lightning | 65c | 69.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…8e8bbacked Lightning | 65c | 69.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Lightning | 72c | 69.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Utah | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ea…92b7backed Utah | 36c | 68.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…b813backed Lightning | 65c | 65.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…e6debacked Lightning | 65c | 64.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd7…1778backed Lightning | 77c | 61.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…6b3ebacked Utah | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Utah | 34c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Utah | 27c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…2e4dbacked Lightning | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 86 | 69.8%60 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc4…8c38backed Lightning | 67c | 44.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Utah | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77db…cff4backed Lightning | 65c | 41.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Lightning | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Lightning | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.