NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5126065fdba96ca23a1d54062a342c64326e1af401f598e1dd1f0a0571dffb1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Canadiens, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ducks | 10c | 13,578$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,219.65 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Canadiens | 23c | 4,472$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.86 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Canadiens | 54c | 2,800$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Ducks | 46c | 2,800$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.96 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 24c | 1,921$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.05 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks | 26c | 1,907$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.93 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…cc9fbacked Canadiens | 54c | 1,806$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…e3b9backed Ducks | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 53c | 1,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…4655backed Ducks | 49c | 1,233$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.28 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Ducks | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ducks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Canadiens | 57c | 874.71$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Ducks | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks | 46c | 475.1$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.3 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Ducks | 46c | 403.33$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.8 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Ducks | 28c | 355.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Ducks | 45c | 346.45$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.55 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Ducks | 51c | 305$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.45 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Canadiens | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…f236backed Ducks | 50c | 290.96$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Canadiens | 49c | 224.61$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Ducks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks | 48c | 209.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…050fbacked Canadiens | 54c | 185.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6088…9c9ebacked Canadiens | 55c | 182.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…c61bbacked Canadiens | 55c | 181.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…5d9cbacked Canadiens | 56c | 178.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Ducks | 43c | 159.72$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.04 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Canadiens | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbed…c35ebacked Ducks | 45c | 141.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Canadiens | 55c | 138.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe739…d2a5backed Canadiens | 57c | 130.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c3…1fb7backed Ducks | 47c | 127.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b6…ed1ebacked Canadiens | 54c | 124.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa2…9fe2backed Ducks | 45c | 121.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…6bdabacked Ducks | 46c | 120.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef1…e7f4backed Ducks | 45c | 120.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031f…e9aebacked Ducks | 45c | 119.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff4c…c56cbacked Ducks | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Ducks | 50c | 116.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…8239backed Ducks | 47c | 115.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf862…e2babacked Canadiens | 54c | 114.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e82…6060backed Canadiens | 54c | 113.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Ducks | 45c | 111.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4aa…6c05backed Ducks | 45c | 111.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…dfffbacked Ducks | 47c | 108.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Ducks | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…22cfbacked Canadiens | 56c | 108.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Ducks | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…117bbacked Ducks | 45c | 105.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fee…5519backed Ducks | 45c | 104.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0227…750bbacked Canadiens | 56c | 103.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…31b9backed Ducks | 45c | 103.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b9…7604backed Ducks | 45c | 101.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Canadiens | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Ducks | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Ducks | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…3ef3backed Canadiens | 54c | 99.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae29…2730backed Ducks | 47c | 97.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092d…8756backed Canadiens | 57c | 95.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe106…e347backed Ducks | 45c | 94.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…bfcdbacked Canadiens | 56c | 93.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…65ecbacked Canadiens | 56c | 92.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…5077backed Canadiens | 56c | 92.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…40a6backed Canadiens | 56c | 92.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf835…28d3backed Canadiens | 57c | 91.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed Ducks | 44c | 90.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…6ac8backed Canadiens | 56c | 89.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8893…3e47backed Canadiens | 56c | 89.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…80e0backed Canadiens | 56c | 89.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…b280backed Canadiens | 56c | 89.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c2…1f15backed Ducks | 45c | 89.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c0…6576backed Canadiens | 56c | 88.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…1639backed Ducks | 45c | 88.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks | 28c | 87.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdc…79acbacked Canadiens | 56c | 87.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…0d51backed Canadiens | 56c | 85.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…bfccbacked Ducks | 45c | 84.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x342f…e786backed Canadiens | 56c | 83.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…5ca5backed Canadiens | 56c | 83.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3e71backed Canadiens | 56c | 82.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…0533backed Canadiens | 56c | 82.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Ducks | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb955…175ebacked Ducks | 45c | 78.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Ducks | 45c | 77.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…abb4backed Ducks | 45c | 75.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe027…14a3backed Ducks | 45c | 72.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…f754backed Ducks | 47c | 72.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941c…d5d6backed Canadiens | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cad…5616backed Canadiens | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…afebbacked Ducks | 47c | 72.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…2b8dbacked Ducks | 45c | 68.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b5…2062backed Ducks | 46c | 60.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Ducks | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Canadiens | 47c | 59.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Canadiens | 56c | 59.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ducks | 45c | 57.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…5db7backed Ducks | 45c | 56.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.