NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5750a87bc93c3fae2104dd2aa93a6a4482f5683a51be18a039e4470d6307c543
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Blackhawks, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Blackhawks | 23c | 5,546$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,242.91 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Blackhawks | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.83 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Lightning | 76c | 2,701$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.9 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Lightning | 17c | 2,692$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.23 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Blackhawks | 23c | 1,848$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.58 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Blackhawks | 67c | 1,782$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.38 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 77c | 1,500$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lightning | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Lightning | 77c | 1,495$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.62 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning | 52c | 1,292$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.47 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…6fd0backed Blackhawks | 24c | 1,156$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.07 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Lightning | 77c | 1,100$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Blackhawks | 23c | 1,100$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.98 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Blackhawks | 22c | 1,026$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.12 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…206abacked Lightning | 77c | 1,024$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Lightning | 76c | 926.44$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.53 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Lightning | 78c | 751.06$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.31 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Blackhawks | 23c | 717.96$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.83 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blackhawks | 22c | 561.86$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.57 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blackhawks | 23c | 541.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.32 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 63c | 503.17$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…2e59backed Blackhawks | 70c | 409.61$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 77c | 392.8$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.46 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Lightning | 77c | 380.38$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.25 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Lightning | 42c | 352$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.08 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blackhawks | 58c | 343.61$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.54 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Lightning | 77c | 341.04$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.6 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lightning | 75c | 334.79$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.09 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb8…33cdbacked Lightning | 43c | 327.75$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Blackhawks | 32c | 315.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.34 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f4…0eb4backed Blackhawks | 22c | 301.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Lightning | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…2c77backed Lightning | 77c | 270.92$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x526d…73f1backed Blackhawks | 22c | 258.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Blackhawks | 58c | 235$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.3 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Blackhawks | 24c | 213.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.28 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Lightning | 76c | 210.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Blackhawks | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9be3backed Blackhawks | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Blackhawks | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lightning | 76c | 199.96$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.97 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Lightning | 71c | 196.4$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Lightning | 42c | 175$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…902dbacked Lightning | 76c | 171.05$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…7d44backed Blackhawks | 23c | 169.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Lightning | 78c | 162.66$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.45 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Lightning | 77c | 162.34$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Blackhawks | 22c | 159.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.99 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce9…c8dabacked Lightning | 76c | 151.05$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Blackhawks | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 75c | 143.58$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ff…1238backed Lightning | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671b…e4bdbacked Blackhawks | 24c | 129.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.17 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 34c | 127.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lightning | 76c | 120$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…e03abacked Lightning | 70c | 115$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Blackhawks | 21c | 108.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Lightning | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Blackhawks | 25c | 100.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Lightning | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Lightning | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Blackhawks | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Lightning | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Blackhawks | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Blackhawks | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Blackhawks | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +55%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…ad9dbacked Lightning | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Lightning | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Lightning | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2142…79fdbacked Blackhawks | 24c | 80$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…492bbacked Lightning | 79c | 68.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Lightning | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d3…127cbacked Lightning | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…a85cbacked Lightning | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Lightning | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…a741backed Lightning | 78c | 57.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Blackhawks | 23c | 56.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0958…78fdbacked Lightning | 78c | 56.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1b…7d60backed Lightning | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bf…14cfbacked Lightning | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…7745backed Blackhawks | 25c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x229f…3b70backed Lightning | 78c | 47.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…2135backed Blackhawks | 25c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Blackhawks | 23c | 44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…07b0backed Lightning | 78c | 41.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Lightning | 77c | 38.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…ce51backed Lightning | 78c | 37.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…9fffbacked Lightning | 78c | 37.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5434…1e01backed Lightning | 78c | 35.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14f…00ffbacked Lightning | 78c | 35.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…2d0fbacked Lightning | 78c | 34.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Lightning | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…6c6ebacked Lightning | 78c | 30.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…e3e8backed Lightning | 78c | 30.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ff…3fbebacked Lightning | 78c | 29.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…b948backed Lightning | 76c | 28.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x508e…17f1backed Lightning | 78c | 28.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78c…2dffbacked Lightning | 75c | 28.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.