Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x614c6ee34ff86e8153d8d542c6a9f10d5aad79341688f55f16c97bacc41655bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 23,471$5,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,569.17 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 10,038$7,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.66 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 6,472$4,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.69 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 65c | 4,999$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.68 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 2,849$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.77 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 30c | 1,932$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.05 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…16d6backed Yes | 4c | 1,900$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 31c | 1,645$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 31c | 1,374$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 78c | 1,283$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.16 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 7c | 1,249$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 7c | 1,175$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed No | 71c | 1,057$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 69c | 1,012$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.78 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3df…beefbacked No | 69c | 1,001$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6db…fcfcbacked Yes | 31c | 995$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 34c | 893$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.62 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 891.34$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.29 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…b06bbacked Yes | 31c | 648.39$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Yes | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 20c | 512.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 504.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 8c | 478.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 70c | 351.06$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.32 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b9…7575backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Yes | 34c | 299.88$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 263.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…a156backed Yes | 18c | 194.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 70c | 142$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 117.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Yes | 29c | 102$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Yes | 31c | 101.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 99.06$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 72c | 94.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 31c | 89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x531a…8681backed Yes | 21c | 87.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…b48bbacked Yes | 15c | 86.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…52e2backed Yes | 37c | 81.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 17c | 77.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 28c | 71.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3736…b729backed No | 71c | 67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 30c | 59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 74c | 58.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 32c | 50.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671b…e4bdbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…f271backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab5b…cfdbbacked Yes | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 30c | 41.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Yes | 31c | 35.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…a117backed Yes | 30c | 34.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed No | 69c | 25.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957c…2965backed No | 70c | 14.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?this page
- Will PAOK win on 2026-02-19?No won
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.