Mls · resolved market

Orlando City SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfed7acb553508b15a603944a92e8422d4eb64c2871c778596f505b5c1b878e18

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $60,232

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,232 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Mls
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Under	38c	36,969$14,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,030.02	96	49%47 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Over	59c	17,316$10,217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,099.44	28	71.4%20 W · 8 L	+6.0wins	+0.21per pick	50cpaid	+46.9%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Under	41c	9,000$3,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,690	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.18per pick	44cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	41c	8,000$3,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,280	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	62c	7,500$4,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,850	88	45.5%40 W · 48 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	62c	4,608$2,849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,758.87	251	49%123 W · 128 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over	62c	3,973$2,464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,509.4	124	51.6%64 W · 60 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	62c	3,707$2,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,411.15	3,012	43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L	-29.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over	62c	3,500$2,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,330	50	54%27 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	62c	2,609$1,614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$995.37	971	46.1%448 W · 523 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over	62c	2,500$1,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$950	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	62c	1,109$684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$424.39	777	51.7%402 W · 375 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over	61c	599.98$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.99	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Over	62c	547$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.86	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over	62c	544.35$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.85	91	51.6%47 W · 44 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over	61c	505.48$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.14	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over	62c	500$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over	62c	500$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over	62c	400$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over	62c	225$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.5	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over	61c	196.72$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.72	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+30%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Over	62c	195.16$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.16	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c77…55a4backed Over	59c	189$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.49	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+77.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7608…92e2backed Under	41c	188.81$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.41	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over	62c	179.99$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.65	243	51.4%125 W · 118 L	-16.4wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over	62c	150$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over	62c	150$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over	62c	150$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over	62c	150$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	196	57.1%112 W · 84 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over	62c	150$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	49	61.2%30 W · 19 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over	62c	149.56$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.83	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	41c	136.79$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.08	130	46.2%60 W · 70 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over	62c	125$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.5	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	63c	124.98$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.24	429	47.1%202 W · 227 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over	62c	115$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.7	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over	61c	108.2$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.2	105	62.9%66 W · 39 L	+9.3wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked Over	60c	100.33$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.13	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.5wins	+0.22per pick	50cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	135	57.8%78 W · 57 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over	62c	98.67$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.57	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	63c	97.08$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.27	580	43.6%253 W · 327 L	-12.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over	62c	96.77$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.77	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under	41c	92.27$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.83	107	54.2%58 W · 49 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over	62c	90$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.2	55	56.4%31 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over	62c	90$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.2	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf16…25a5backed Over	64c	81.98$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.51	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf25a…d724backed Under	39c	76.92$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over	62c	75$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	201	54.2%109 W · 92 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b07…869abacked Under	41c	72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.52	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	50	56%28 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-4.5wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over	62c	60$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	49	51%25 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Over	62c	55$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.9	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	63c	54.42$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.13	557	50.1%279 W · 278 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd74…047abacked Over	62c	53.15$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.2	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Over	61c	52.23$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.37	12	50%6 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over	62c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	39c	48.41$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.92	1,880	36.6%688 W · 1,192 L	-7.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over	62c	44.48$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.9	58	50%29 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over	60c	42.57$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.03	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under	39c	41.03$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.03	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	+12.1wins	+0.15per pick	36cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	62c	41.01$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.58	915	53%485 W · 430 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over	62c	37$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.06	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-15%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0914…e49fbacked Over	60c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.56	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…176bbacked Over	62c	32.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.26	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over	62c	32.24$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	39c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	287	21.6%62 W · 225 L	-29.9wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over	62c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.4	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked Over	60c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over	60c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over	62c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.4	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca3…483abacked Over	62c	29.58$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.24	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+54.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over	62c	25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.5	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over	62c	25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.5	50	58%29 W · 21 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over	62c	25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.5	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over	62c	25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.5	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over	59c	24$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.84	46	50%23 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over	62c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over	62c	16.13$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.13	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Orlando City SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 2.5this page
Orlando City SC vs. CF Montréal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Orlando City SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 1.5Over won
Orlando City SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 3.5Under won
Orlando City SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: CF Montréal (-1.5)Orlando City SC won
Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)CF Montréal won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Orlando City SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event