TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Orlando City SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,830 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Under60c15,000$8,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,001.689649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over40c4,346$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.358845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over40c3,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4005054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over40c797.69$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004456.8%25 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c499.99$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.0177751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over42c478.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under62c402.97$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.133641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41f…99febacked Over61c290.09$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c272.03$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7182044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over40c249.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5968550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over39c228.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.792250%11 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over40c225$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Under61c185$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.151546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over40c183.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2158043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over42c158.65$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9855750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under61c139.38$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3246156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c134.65$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.553,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa368…7845backed Over41c125$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over40c124.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9291553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under42c123.39$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3728851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f71…65a3backed Over41c122$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over58c119.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over40c115$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under39c103.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.51,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405152.9%27 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3815341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.991625%4 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over40c90$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over40c90$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under55c78.43$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9737138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over59c70.15$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.625961%36 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over69c66.67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469758.8%57 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245056%28 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245149%25 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245046%23 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6824046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244951%25 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa6…9a82backed Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…cb9cbacked Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x132e…c1dfbacked Under60c49.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under61c48.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9542947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Under63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.621250%6 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over37c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6512849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under53c44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7992346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under53c43.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7130957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Under52c40.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.42853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over40c37.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.28251.2%42 W · 40 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3619645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under64c34.22$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.323151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a4…5e83backed Over62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0375…07acbacked Over39c30.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.424351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd223…d622backed Over37c29.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over37c29.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.891118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-61.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over41c29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.894951%25 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under62c28.33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7725149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over70c28.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6539567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7d12…a4c4backed Over63c27.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174271.4%30 W · 12 L+8.5wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under65c27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.362166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105058%29 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f4f…07dcbacked Under60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b59…8020backed Under62c24.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ab4…6ac3backed Under60c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5123…078bbacked Under60c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over72c17.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6287154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.