NHL · resolved market
AHL: Syracuse Crunch vs. Laval Rocket
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa6b2a8cc635e15b11d0686869498332c60b010ef7c0f23183e226d45cf84519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Syracuse Crunchof Syracuse Crunch, Laval Rocket
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,200 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Laval Rocket | 48c | 666.66$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.22 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Syracuse Crunch | 53c | 212.68$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.02 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Syracuse Crunch | 51c | 183.02$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Syracuse Crunch | 35c | 142.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Syracuse Crunch | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Syracuse Crunch | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Syracuse Crunch | 51c | 68.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Syracuse Crunch | 51c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Laval Rocket | 47c | 61.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Laval Rocket | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Syracuse Crunch | 51c | 48.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…cba7backed Syracuse Crunch | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Laval Rocket | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Laval Rocket | 64c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.