Cricket · resolved market
Will India win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9529d1d6081bd7edbbe5071f294cd71e43b68653d8eb99b4d57b7169e4a3947a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,369 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44b3…28a1backed Yes | 7c | 3,209$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.48 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Yes | 1c | 2,198$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,826$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed Yes | 19c | 1,769$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.7 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Yes | 15c | 1,364$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…dff7backed Yes | 17c | 980$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9af1…df2cbacked Yes | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Yes | 10c | 800.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes | 11c | 799.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…e0e8backed Yes | 14c | 724.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd505…2774backed Yes | 14c | 716.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 12c | 612.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 35c | 528.13$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 434.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…be0fbacked Yes | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 13c | 405.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 12c | 376.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…a8e5backed Yes | 11c | 318.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Yes | 16c | 315.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09bf…19dcbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Yes | 18c | 270.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 17c | 245.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 6c | 227.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…339abacked Yes | 15c | 219.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 7c | 216.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 7c | 197.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3203backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Yes | 13c | 185.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…802dbacked Yes | 16c | 182.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f29…8638backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Yes | 13c | 157$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…ae2abacked Yes | 14c | 147.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe1…273bbacked Yes | 16c | 120.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa515…6202backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 10c | 107.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde60…59afbacked Yes | 17c | 105.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc801…30d6backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…0f90backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…d84bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…a02fbacked Yes | 25c | 78.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315d…b420backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d90…086cbacked Yes | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82c…21a2backed Yes | 18c | 63.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d7…a5c5backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Yes | 22c | 53.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b9…fbb1backed Yes | 38c | 53.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…91b9backed No | 54c | 27.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 63c | 19.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 66c | 18.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed No | 77c | 17.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will India win?this page
- Will Australia win?Yes won
- Will the match end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.