Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11c85575f206e77d2afc5684c116da59485220ee8aec149584d16e85fb82fa14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,620 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 5,869$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.41 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 2,151$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.66 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,530$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.7 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,116$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 1,115$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.03 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 9c | 1,021$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 18c | 754.68$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.61 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 20c | 514.9$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 21c | 474.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 2c | 409.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 21c | 408$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Yes | 16c | 358.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Yes | 20c | 256.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 21c | 249.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 8c | 189$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 79c | 149.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 149.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 17c | 146.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 10c | 123.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 70c | 91.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 19c | 67.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 55.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 31c | 38.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 80c | 26.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf877…77e1backed No | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 76cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked No | 80c | 14.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed No | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will Konyaspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Konyaspor win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.