TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,468

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,468 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes61c5,897$3,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304.891,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked No67c4,451$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-72.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes34c2,947$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.743225%8 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No41c2,273$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.8247756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c1,740$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.425,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c1,492$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.6419239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c1,435$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.733,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes62c1,192$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.7449449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No38c1,191$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.749727.8%27 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes41c883.88$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.525345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x648f…fc85backed Yes34c707.34$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.432326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No35c685.23$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.591,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No67c677.32$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.81,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes32c555.82$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.937851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed No67c550$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.511963.9%76 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c432.23$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.748,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No14c400.8$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3484943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes33c395.19$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.7810846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes35c336.29$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.5912541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1229…84c1backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.03580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+87.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52a0…12cdbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.03922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes34c290.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.232035%7 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.781338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No26c268.11$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0410442.3%44 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb813…f0efbacked Yes80c265$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.22070%14 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39b…eb0dbacked No66c263.44$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.451553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed No41c261.72$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.312755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22b3…dcafbacked Yes47c255.97$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.522347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No66c246.83$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.363652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Yes34c198.32$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.891080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+57%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2df9…effbbacked Yes72c189.56$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes33c181.03$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.21,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No51c166.24$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.861,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2416…8afebacked Yes34c161.88$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No68c149.18$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.448248.8%40 W · 42 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No21c148.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7685220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes64c141.65$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.992,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a3…3823backed Yes36c136.59$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Yes66c136.36$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.361827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No66c136.01$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.71,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No41c134.95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3336757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb53…04adbacked Yes34c134$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2572…cdafbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes47c124.68$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.523,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No65c123.88$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5222457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x445c…c4f1backed Yes33c121.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.214959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No42c117.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7617055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b1…536dbacked Yes36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.111844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3689…e964backed Yes36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.11520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679353.8%50 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6781651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed5…8165backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd865…4778backed Yes51c99.37$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.321080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed No32c99.06$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.762642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+80.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes34c93.45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6845253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb23…4228backed Yes36c92.64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.44966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70af…5847backed Yes66c91.3$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.041573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Yes37c91$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.982748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6d…1e14backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.217100%7 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No65c85.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.892,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x185f…3649backed No14c85.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+72.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No42c82.61$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9794848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7713…daf0backed Yes63c80$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked No66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No66c75.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.524757.4%27 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc51…41cbbacked Yes35c74.29$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+187.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes34c74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8424253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2807…27d5backed Yes35c71.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.436020%12 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No64c67.79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.617066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No65c66.53$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.31,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed No49c63.7$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.911776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf9d…f5a8backed No67c62$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes34c59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9410943.1%47 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Yes34c59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.944748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae3…08a0backed Yes35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes61c50.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8210964.2%70 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.56440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d6f…e57cbacked Yes35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.53545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed Yes34c48.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.021650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes66c47.75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.111,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076e…a6a4backed Yes61c47.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.544339.5%17 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9450…d9e6backed Yes33c46.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick42cpaid+151.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No64c41.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4117560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No64c37.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.315459.1%91 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d3…0a3ebacked No66c37.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed No41c37.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.512766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes61c36.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.078560%51 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No62c35.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0833745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Yes34c35.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.293847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…1d57backed No68c33.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.661154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick72cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Yes60c33.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.334566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x678e…6ba9backed No67c33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No65c31.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6321266.5%141 W · 71 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed No64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb9d…d78ebacked Yes36c30.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f40…5401backed Yes65c30.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d0…cb37backed Yes35c30.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.69540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f9…62bfbacked No55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1529362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8566…5b98backed Yes35c29.51$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.18425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.