South American Leagues · resolved market
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba8444a8e9e962256cc41e2e3e5e19d71507920710dcac120d8add8f1c6f9966
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,289 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 35c | 48,573$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000.43 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 65c | 9,528$6,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,340.06 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 7,865$5,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.57 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 21c | 3,612$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.28 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 65c | 3,500$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 65c | 3,485$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.2 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 16c | 3,466$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.42 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 65c | 3,238$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.46 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 65c | 3,111$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.85 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 65c | 1,788$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.8 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed No | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 65c | 1,346$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.11 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 65c | 1,275$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.25 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,260$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 24c | 1,209$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.23 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…c557backed Yes | 13c | 999.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 863.01$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.42 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 34c | 707.34$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.1 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…12cdbacked Yes | 3c | 689.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 684.46$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.48 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 65c | 470$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 393.09$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.18 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed No | 65c | 343.15$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 34c | 336.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.58 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8d…b0e1backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 64c | 294.05$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 276.21$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 249.01$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 10c | 238$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 36c | 235$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 66c | 178$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 65c | 175$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 65c | 175$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 11c | 172$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 65c | 157.22$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 34c | 126.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 65c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 65c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 65c | 125$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db5…e1febacked Yes | 34c | 123.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked No | 67c | 122.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 111.21$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 65c | 109.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes | 36c | 92.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4213…6940backed No | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x196d…5065backed Yes | 26c | 89.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked No | 65c | 77.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked No | 65c | 76.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6d…d729backed No | 65c | 76.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked No | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 30c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked No | 65c | 62.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219d…444cbacked Yes | 25c | 61.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked No | 68c | 61.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed No | 65c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed No | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
- Will São Paulo FC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.