World Politics · resolved market
Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe0d41e720744005920170b517923ccac56bfb3944bbe8161ff3de63b9ea0830
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,926 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc4c…dbd5backed Yes | 59c | 8,432$5,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Yes | 67c | 5,058$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 76c | 3,609$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.69 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…6b75backed Yes | 61c | 1,569$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…b247backed Yes | 55c | 1,505$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.77 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 35c | 1,200$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 34c | 1,079$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.14 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Yes | 59c | 994.99$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 55c | 987.99$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.7 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc3…e9a2backed Yes | 62c | 909.74$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 59c | 500$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.01 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…424bbacked Yes | 64c | 471.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04f…15babacked No | 46c | 468$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +75%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…e706backed Yes | 54c | 468$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…c2dfbacked Yes | 55c | 443$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked No | 45c | 443$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 56c | 427.21$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.97 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed Yes | 62c | 419.95$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.62 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…0f8abacked Yes | 59c | 400.13$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 62c | 399.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 79c | 380.86$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2c…dc30backed Yes | 60c | 338.17$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.39 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 75c | 324$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 39c | 286.61$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.53 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…6dddbacked No | 39c | 280$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…9ad2backed Yes | 55c | 270.64$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…87c3backed Yes | 62c | 266$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes | 54c | 260.38$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.21 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f76…1d92backed Yes | 72c | 251.37$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes | 49c | 216$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 52c | 214.94$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 48c | 199.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9177…318abacked Yes | 59c | 173.91$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…ac17backed Yes | 57c | 173.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 59c | 164.46$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…5385backed Yes | 65c | 153.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…4bdebacked Yes | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +52%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 78c | 145.72$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 37c | 144.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 46c | 134.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 37c | 114.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a28…600fbacked Yes | 60c | 113.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Yes | 64c | 109.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…569bbacked Yes | 49c | 106.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 45c | 103.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 43c | 100.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5195…30efbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 38c | 91.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…037cbacked Yes | 55c | 84.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…0307backed Yes | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1438…6100backed Yes | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 43c | 73.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 38c | 73.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…1371backed No | 38c | 70.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 43c | 70.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bef…36debacked Yes | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x875a…baa7backed Yes | 71c | 63.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…be25backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44ef…5a9bbacked Yes | 67c | 59.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…8c56backed Yes | 56c | 57.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 22c | 51.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 55 | 12.7%7 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 40c | 51.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…911fbacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 35c | 49.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 46c | 47.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…ee14backed Yes | 56c | 47.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d9…bd0abacked Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4603…c2ebbacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbece…141cbacked Yes | 50c | 42.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e7…d3a5backed Yes | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 37c | 41.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…6705backed Yes | 54c | 39.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…32bbbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…0471backed No | 39c | 37.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf814…4cadbacked Yes | 58c | 36.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c9…866ebacked Yes | 55c | 33.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 53c | 33.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…07f2backed Yes | 61c | 33.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…d8ffbacked Yes | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 37c | 30.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.26per pick | 22cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…b096backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…36cebacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7833…f126backed Yes | 60c | 29.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 48c | 29.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 49c | 28.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5e…258cbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c71…2b42backed Yes | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f3…15dabacked Yes | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6c…d721backed Yes | 64c | 23.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482e…e49ebacked Yes | 66c | 22.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…0fa5backed Yes | 61c | 22.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…5428backed No | 49c | 21.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?this page
- Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No won
- Will BSW win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No won
- Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No won
- Will Grüne win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.