Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. North Dakota State Bison (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62b30aa02705a1320f344840c6764bc5a8fb8064bd348602b87c267506bf4618
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Dakota State Jackrabbitsof South Dakota State Jackrabbits, North Dakota State Bison
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed North Dakota State Bison | 21c | 4,357$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.57 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 80c | 662.4$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed North Dakota State Bison | 18c | 281.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked North Dakota State Bison | 18c | 253$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed North Dakota State Bison | 45c | 238.18$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 69c | 80.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked North Dakota State Bison | 20c | 58.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked North Dakota State Bison | 25c | 40.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 68c | 36.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 80c | 33.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 47c | 25.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 65c | 24.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 49c | 24.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 66c | 23.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.