TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cincinnati Redsof Los Angeles Dodgers, Cincinnati Reds
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,828 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Los Angeles Dodgers0c5,465$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.553929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c2,113$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.2623036.1%83 W · 147 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Cincinnati Reds47c1,978$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.0584049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cincinnati Reds48c1,877$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.821,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c1,447$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.920548.3%99 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Cincinnati Reds55c1,246$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.363246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c1,237$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.3655541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Cincinnati Reds49c1,133$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.652147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Cincinnati Reds20c966.06$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.857542.7%32 W · 43 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+63.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Los Angeles Dodgers80c851.24$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.89751.5%50 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c773.2$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.282,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Cincinnati Reds47c679.16$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.8447345.7%216 W · 257 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked Cincinnati Reds36c517$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c491.63$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.3544745.6%204 W · 243 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Los Angeles Dodgers60c439.85$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9221842.7%93 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c436.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040753.6%218 W · 189 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Cincinnati Reds55c406.31$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.938256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers6c400$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224714.9%7 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers46c386.96$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1781050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Cincinnati Reds47c383$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0912350.4%62 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Los Angeles Dodgers64c380$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.28644.2%38 W · 48 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb858…7dc3backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c374.29$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Cincinnati Reds52c374$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.5249450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers59c369.6$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.11,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers44c367.12$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8914251.4%73 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c359.91$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.97949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Cincinnati Reds10c296.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.854715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd571…9f0abacked Cincinnati Reds48c281.25$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Cincinnati Reds47c276.6$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.63551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0baf…4647backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c232.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…74b3backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c218.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cincinnati Reds51c213.04$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5146547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde95…b97fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe499…d5c2backed Los Angeles Dodgers48c207.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Cincinnati Reds46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1084250%21 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Cincinnati Reds52c194.75$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4810744.9%48 W · 59 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Cincinnati Reds46c181.82$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.182045%9 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2995…f5bbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers45c172.22$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Cincinnati Reds59c165$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.410945.9%50 W · 59 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Cincinnati Reds45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c153.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8066551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Cincinnati Reds46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818336.1%30 W · 53 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Cincinnati Reds46c129$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6631038.4%119 W · 191 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Los Angeles Dodgers72c120.27$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.78247.6%39 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Cincinnati Reds50c118.76$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.831,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Los Angeles Dodgers48c118$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.644452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Cincinnati Reds50c117$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.026,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cincinnati Reds58c113.23$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.051,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913f…916dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c110.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Cincinnati Reds47c109.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.292673.1%19 W · 7 L+6.4wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+52.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9007…2421backed Cincinnati Reds37c109.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.011457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Cincinnati Reds51c104.91$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.871,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4883248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Cincinnati Reds28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc47…3c64backed Los Angeles Dodgers48c95.46$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers67c94$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.984757.4%27 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers35c92.78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.473321.2%7 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bea…c4b2backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6e…8fe0backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-47.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked Cincinnati Reds49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.63862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+43.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Cincinnati Reds50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4067453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Los Angeles Dodgers77c79$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6141751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x098d…6cc2backed Los Angeles Dodgers28c77.49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.871361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Cincinnati Reds30c74.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2884122.7%191 W · 650 L-81.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Cincinnati Reds40c73.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.611256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4913…d01bbacked Cincinnati Reds68c73.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.316100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+118.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c67.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.141330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-37.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.617750.6%39 W · 38 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x466b…fbe4backed Los Angeles Dodgers48c64.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cincinnati Reds43c64$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6647745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Los Angeles Dodgers58c58.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.93540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Los Angeles Dodgers79c58.04$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.996267.7%42 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x537e…b626backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9450…d9e6backed Cincinnati Reds53c50.88$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.911850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c50.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7995041.5%394 W · 556 L-48.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.63735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-29%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Cincinnati Reds23c49.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.262825%7 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Cincinnati Reds51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0250949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Cincinnati Reds49c45.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2335240.3%142 W · 210 L-23.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdadb…c457backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c42.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b05…47c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers75c41.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Cincinnati Reds49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f2c…9374backed Cincinnati Reds49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dbb…2e57backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7132…f7f0backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee5e…7f1cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c37.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.99540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cincinnati Reds57c37.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.161,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce7…81a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers58c37.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Cincinnati Reds36c36.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.11650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Dodgers64c35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Los Angeles Dodgers58c34.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81c0…8b96backed Los Angeles Dodgers64c34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.761782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+43.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Cincinnati Reds49c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8325648%123 W · 133 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Cincinnati Reds48c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.121747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22be…e36ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.83953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Los Angeles Dodgers49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.787370.1%612 W · 261 L+91.6wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.