Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c48e06ae24e6b0d9f8c2771decf73bc50b9cd46eb4205512618ba1870e30907
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trace Esportsof Trace Esports, Any Questions Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Trace Esports | 65c | 1,400$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.89 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Any Questions Gaming | 35c | 1,123$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.01 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Any Questions Gaming | 30c | 1,065$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.35 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Any Questions Gaming | 41c | 866.16$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.2 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Any Questions Gaming | 36c | 744.32$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Any Questions Gaming | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Trace Esports | 65c | 586.65$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.33 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Any Questions Gaming | 33c | 544.56$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Trace Esports | 77c | 519.86$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.87 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Trace Esports | 73c | 451.04$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.78 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Trace Esports | 61c | 416.63$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Trace Esports | 64c | 320$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Any Questions Gaming | 25c | 303.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Trace Esports | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Any Questions Gaming | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -9.8wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb7…0dbdbacked Trace Esports | 65c | 290$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Any Questions Gaming | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Any Questions Gaming | 27c | 254.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc001…4b7cbacked Any Questions Gaming | 24c | 249.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Trace Esports | 76c | 245.57$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Any Questions Gaming | 35c | 240$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Trace Esports | 67c | 192.23$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Any Questions Gaming | 27c | 187.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Trace Esports | 67c | 184.36$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Trace Esports | 68c | 171.88$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…e601backed Trace Esports | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Trace Esports | 60c | 150.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Any Questions Gaming | 21c | 117.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Trace Esports | 64c | 114$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Any Questions Gaming | 23c | 110.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked Any Questions Gaming | 30c | 100.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Any Questions Gaming | 23c | 100.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Any Questions Gaming | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Any Questions Gaming | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Trace Esports | 65c | 81.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Trace Esports | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…b73bbacked Any Questions Gaming | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Any Questions Gaming | 42c | 77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…9207backed Trace Esports | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Any Questions Gaming | 40c | 69.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…f078backed Trace Esports | 67c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Trace Esports | 64c | 61.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 193 | 37.8%73 W · 120 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Any Questions Gaming | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Trace Esports | 49c | 56.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb46c…30c2backed Any Questions Gaming | 54c | 50.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Any Questions Gaming | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2d…e2cfbacked Trace Esports | 44c | 45.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Any Questions Gaming | 27c | 41.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Trace Esports | 73c | 41.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 109 | 75.2%82 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Trace Esports | 65c | 37.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Any Questions Gaming | 43c | 35.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Trace Esports | 63c | 31.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Trace Esports | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Trace Esports | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Trace Esports | 65c | 19.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Trace Esports | 74c | 19.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +15.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TE (-1.5) vs Any Questions Gaming (+1.5)Trace Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Any Questions Gaming - Map 1 WinnerTrace Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Any Questions Gaming - Map 2 WinnerTrace Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.