Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Any Questions Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9d7cac159eb0f59e28c15a297deb79f93ea65f7e33b15ad5199a6f5f328ba45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trace Esportsof Trace Esports, Any Questions Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Any Questions Gaming | 67c | 183.47$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.08 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…d801backed Trace Esports | 69c | 171.4$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…7ca8backed Any Questions Gaming | 39c | 159.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Trace Esports | 29c | 75.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Any Questions Gaming | 67c | 68.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Any Questions Gaming | 40c | 68.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Trace Esports | 37c | 61.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…50a5backed Trace Esports | 61c | 54.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…3706backed Trace Esports | 61c | 53.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…6266backed Trace Esports | 61c | 52.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Any Questions Gaming | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Trace Esports | 46c | 49.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Any Questions Gaming | 62c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Any Questions Gaming | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Any Questions Gaming | 61c | 37.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Trace Esports | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Trace Esports | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Any Questions Gaming | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Any Questions Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TE (-1.5) vs Any Questions Gaming (+1.5)Trace Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 PlayoffsTrace Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Any Questions Gaming - Map 2 WinnerTrace Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.