Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85d34282e12ac823db68dd2d8e28753777185b4af6b07453256d5e2bbcb62a0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95d4…839abacked Yes | 1c | 2,037$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 281 | 19.9%56 W · 225 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…5eafbacked Yes | 1c | 1,173$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 22c | 823.44$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.14 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…5adfbacked Yes | 16c | 810.03$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…e23cbacked Yes | 14c | 668.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 51c | 417.19$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.25 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 48c | 312.86$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.31 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 228.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 47c | 205.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 47c | 200.58$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.9 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked No | 49c | 198.53$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked Yes | 47c | 192.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 56c | 186.44$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 28c | 181.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 46c | 148.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 46c | 147.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 40c | 125.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 15c | 119.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…133bbacked No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 67c | 97.41$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 56c | 95.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 54c | 91.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 52c | 88.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 48c | 88.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x131d…2a50backed Yes | 42c | 85.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -15.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 55c | 84.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b5…47bfbacked Yes | 44c | 82.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 29c | 81.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 57c | 80.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 37c | 75.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 42c | 72.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 28c | 72.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 56c | 70.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…c33abacked No | 44c | 68.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 149 | 61.1%91 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 29c | 64.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 44c | 62.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…9b0cbacked Yes | 49c | 59.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 57c | 56.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 44c | 54.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…aea3backed Yes | 41c | 52.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 39c | 49.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…d81dbacked Yes | 50c | 48.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 22c | 47.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…2420backed Yes | 47c | 47.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5d…1726backed Yes | 44c | 47.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 46.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f7…9939backed Yes | 50c | 46.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 57c | 45.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b3…13e5backed Yes | 41c | 45.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 69c | 42.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…dd39backed Yes | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 31c | 39.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1c…c73bbacked Yes | 56c | 38.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…fb04backed No | 51c | 37.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…c0cbbacked Yes | 34c | 37.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ada…4908backed Yes | 52c | 36.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 43c | 34.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…fc4abacked No | 73c | 34.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 47c | 33.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…695fbacked No | 59c | 32.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 57c | 31.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Yes | 39c | 30.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3487…11f5backed Yes | 57c | 27.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…7227backed No | 55c | 26.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 97 | 79.4%77 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 58c | 26.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…0400backed Yes | 44c | 25.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed No | 58c | 25.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…1d1abacked No | 62c | 24.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…eab7backed Yes | 55c | 24.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 71cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…9f22backed Yes | 43c | 23.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb81…7b82backed No | 52c | 21.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 55c | 20.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…4613backed No | 58c | 19.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 77 | 77.9%60 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 56c | 19.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6154…0404backed No | 59c | 19.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 35 | 80%28 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 70c | 19.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…0ef1backed Yes | 53c | 19.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 74c | 15.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 3?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on April 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.