Earnings · resolved market
Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca60b80b2c05edcf782831381dc6988f033eef8e8e0bbd28a4e0d4babf8d688f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,033$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xface…9d17backed Yes | 64c | 784.92$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 2c | 625$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 2c | 625$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…1b00backed No | 49c | 618.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 33c | 582.66$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.01 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed Yes | 65c | 571.59$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.46 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…e5eebacked Yes | 50c | 503.82$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.32 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed Yes | 73c | 427.65$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ac…2d85backed No | 34c | 375$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0433…8b4fbacked No | 30c | 360.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x961b…4210backed No | 10c | 352.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 34c | 317.16$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba51…ff35backed No | 57c | 310$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.01 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 34c | 308.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25df…ba12backed Yes | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 26c | 285.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 37c | 285.41$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked Yes | 45c | 275$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…9188backed Yes | 74c | 271.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.45 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e58…aebebacked Yes | 62c | 265.7$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 36c | 262.86$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 64c | 260$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…57d8backed No | 40c | 252.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3a…6835backed No | 45c | 220.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…1f3fbacked No | 29c | 204.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 40c | 200.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…55b0backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 56c | 189.75$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 36c | 180.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 36c | 169.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf23b…4957backed Yes | 61c | 163.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 38c | 159.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked No | 25c | 142.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…e4e1backed No | 26c | 134.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe107…1a5abacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 26c | 133.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 39c | 126.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed No | 29c | 126$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…d37cbacked No | 34c | 120.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf57…053bbacked No | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…4fc0backed Yes | 73c | 115.96$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…6d2abacked No | 48c | 103.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…8633backed Yes | 60c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked No | 34c | 99.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 31c | 95.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…506cbacked No | 67c | 89.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…9306backed Yes | 47c | 85.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 69c | 83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d60…07e9backed No | 33c | 81.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…4547backed Yes | 38c | 80.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 40c | 79.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecf…c70bbacked No | 26c | 76.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949a…721cbacked No | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d36…def5backed Yes | 68c | 69.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f8…6620backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeec…a303backed No | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…f8a1backed Yes | 61c | 65.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked No | 44c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4666…36d5backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…7da8backed No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f3…9529backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd930…2787backed Yes | 42c | 47.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Yes | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 71c | 40.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60e…f687backed Yes | 74c | 40.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…51a6backed No | 34c | 38.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d27…4f3cbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked Yes | 73c | 31.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…dfa3backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 67c | 30.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d62…fc71backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 40 | 87.5%35 W · 5 L | +7.6wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…5af1backed No | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 49c | 27.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…d748backed Yes | 74c | 25.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811d…371bbacked Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…2068backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d3…cc60backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…32afbacked Yes | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…7ce5backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…8299backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4c…b014backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.