Tennis · resolved market
Jiujiang: Carol Zhao vs Xiaodi You
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc96563a37e187d1dc9dab949bc4a6d3160cc3b804027a1051ee3f068a9ee8bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xiaodi Youof Carol Zhao, Xiaodi You
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Carol Zhao | 9c | 6,472$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.36 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Carol Zhao | 16c | 4,921$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.43 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Carol Zhao | 16c | 3,040$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.14 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Xiaodi You | 79c | 2,611$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.96 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce2…9787backed Carol Zhao | 1c | 1,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Xiaodi You | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ff…b09cbacked Carol Zhao | 19c | 1,203$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.34 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Carol Zhao | 25c | 1,105$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.25 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Carol Zhao | 22c | 1,081$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.85 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…3733backed Carol Zhao | 3c | 1,048$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…8f45backed Xiaodi You | 76c | 972.71$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.37 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Xiaodi You | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Xiaodi You | 80c | 587.5$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Carol Zhao | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Xiaodi You | 76c | 499.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 489 | 41.1%201 W · 288 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Carol Zhao | 24c | 467.35$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Carol Zhao | 7c | 383.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Carol Zhao | 24c | 294.93$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Carol Zhao | 21c | 238$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Carol Zhao | 7c | 198.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carol Zhao | 18c | 146.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Carol Zhao | 20c | 139.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Xiaodi You | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Carol Zhao | 19c | 130.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…a18bbacked Xiaodi You | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Carol Zhao | 25c | 116$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Carol Zhao | 18c | 106.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Carol Zhao | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Carol Zhao | 13c | 88.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…5d8ebacked Xiaodi You | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Carol Zhao | 20c | 61.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Carol Zhao | 24c | 57.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Carol Zhao | 25c | 57.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Xiaodi You | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Xiaodi You | 80c | 34.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Xiaodi You | 74c | 32.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…bf2bbacked Xiaodi You | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Xiaodi You | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…55fdbacked Xiaodi You | 76c | 19.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Xiaodi You | 78c | 19.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Xiaodi You | 75c | 17.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Xiaodi You | 75c | 15.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.