Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x605940dccf2d35a56aa445b4e81365b35e280ca6d54e351f38ee55a3dc9c82c8

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Team Secret of Karmine Corp, Team Secret
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $47,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $54,161

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,046 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1341…0853backed Team Secret	57c	12,782$7,286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,496.25	1,827	45.6%834 W · 993 L	+26.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9283…4277backed Karmine Corp	43c	10,813$4,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,649.7	46	63%29 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Secret	57c	5,000$2,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,149.99	903	48.4%437 W · 466 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Karmine Corp	43c	4,000$1,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,720	918	54%496 W · 422 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Team Secret	57c	3,300$1,884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,415.99	319	53%169 W · 150 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed Karmine Corp	43c	3,000$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Team Secret	57c	2,350$1,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,010.5	899	43.4%390 W · 509 L	+22.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2526…218ebacked Karmine Corp	43c	2,328$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed Karmine Corp	43c	2,326$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	179	47.5%85 W · 94 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Team Secret	57c	1,521$867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$654.22	511	46.8%239 W · 272 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Karmine Corp	43c	1,500$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645	321	45.5%146 W · 175 L	+11.6wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Karmine Corp	42c	1,500$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	1,443	43.4%626 W · 817 L	+105.5wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Karmine Corp	43c	1,379$593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.09	698	41.8%292 W · 406 L	+46.3wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Team Secret	58c	1,334$774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.28	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Team Secret	45c	1,018$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555.91	697	41.5%289 W · 408 L	-17.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Secret	58c	1,000$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	297	38.7%115 W · 182 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b0…7db2backed Karmine Corp	43c	840.26$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	125	36%45 W · 80 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Karmine Corp	43c	675.23$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.35	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Team Secret	58c	605.38$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.26	123	41.5%51 W · 72 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Team Secret	58c	596.93$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.14	324	42%136 W · 188 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e6…23c2backed Team Secret	45c	551.14$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.14	112	47.3%53 W · 59 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Karmine Corp	50c	550$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed Team Secret	58c	517.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.24	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Secret	58c	500$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	488	47.3%231 W · 257 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed Karmine Corp	42c	500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Karmine Corp	41c	499.99$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.99	328	44.2%145 W · 183 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Karmine Corp	42c	481.98$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.43	2,362	32%755 W · 1,607 L	+42.0wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Secret	58c	422.41$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.41	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Team Secret	58c	390$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.8	287	46%132 W · 155 L	-13.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Karmine Corp	57c	336.11$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.26	978	54.4%532 W · 446 L	+48.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Karmine Corp	50c	295.86$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.93	2,825	41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L	-14.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Karmine Corp	62c	293.58$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.36	1,521	50.6%769 W · 752 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Karmine Corp	62c	246.17$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.85	520	45%234 W · 286 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x532b…30c1backed Karmine Corp	43c	233.95$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.6	93	39.8%37 W · 56 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Karmine Corp	39c	219$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.41	203	36.9%75 W · 128 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed Karmine Corp	42c	217.92$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.53	101	46.5%47 W · 54 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Team Secret	58c	209.37$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.94	1,385	45.1%625 W · 760 L	-12.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Karmine Corp	43c	190.47$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.9	2,508	39.8%999 W · 1,509 L	-76.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Secret	59c	169.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.49	756	30%227 W · 529 L	-21.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Karmine Corp	16c	160$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	97	48.5%47 W · 50 L	+7.8wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Team Secret	37c	138.01$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.95	238	49.2%117 W · 121 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7456…5148backed Team Secret	58c	134.08$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.31	138	36.2%50 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfd8…c40ebacked Karmine Corp	43c	126.84$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.54	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Secret	58c	125.07$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.53	1,593	43.8%697 W · 896 L	-74.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe83…5c7fbacked Karmine Corp	43c	119.98$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.99	101	38.6%39 W · 62 L	-12.1wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaa05…fed7backed Team Secret	58c	104.2$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.2	103	63.1%65 W · 38 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2a…6ce3backed Karmine Corp	43c	102.93$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.26	106	33%35 W · 71 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd22…de1dbacked Karmine Corp	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Karmine Corp	43c	81.4$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	282	50%141 W · 141 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a7e…e0b3backed Karmine Corp	49c	60.74$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	154	50.6%78 W · 76 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed Team Secret	58c	51.72$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.72	347	43.5%151 W · 196 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Team Secret	58c	49.99$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	260	48.8%127 W · 133 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e47…7ecbbacked Karmine Corp	43c	48.63$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.91	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.15per pick	55cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43c6…6dc9backed Team Secret	58c	43.78$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.39	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ed5…3320backed Karmine Corp	43c	43.14$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.55	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b0…b2eebacked Team Secret	58c	36.43$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.43	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-5.2wins	-0.23per pick	66cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6392…52ddbacked Karmine Corp	43c	34.58$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.87	420	49.3%207 W · 213 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb54b…f08bbacked Team Secret	58c	34.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.48	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e0f…2deebacked Karmine Corp	43c	33.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	235	62.1%146 W · 89 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Team Secret	61c	32.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.78	94	36.2%34 W · 60 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-34%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Karmine Corp	43c	32$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.76	458	41.5%190 W · 268 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Team Secret	60c	31.52$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.63	261	54.8%143 W · 118 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed Karmine Corp	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	557	44%245 W · 312 L	-17.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6862…6648backed Team Secret	58c	25.86$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.86	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57a5…6a2abacked Team Secret	58c	25.86$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.86	74	58.1%43 W · 31 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Team Secret	58c	24.14$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.14	225	45.8%103 W · 122 L	+13.0wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffbf…1184backed Karmine Corp	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	287	59.9%172 W · 115 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Karmine Corp	64c	18.16$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	219	53%116 W · 103 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)this page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BKarmine Corp won
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event