Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x905c06eb4d6fab89c1053b8d098c02b5cff5fc0d58d3ff38fa51bdb75c9846a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x335d…8c00backed Over | 39c | 1,023$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.08 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 39c | 1,010$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.9 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…ab9ebacked Under | 61c | 972.91$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.48 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 38c | 799.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.99 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 64c | 419.36$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.95 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 61c | 332.81$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.01 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b8…3c05backed Under | 66c | 304.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 62c | 194.51$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.26 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Over | 29c | 175.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.18 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Under | 56c | 149.36$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 54c | 140.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 28c | 128.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over | 47c | 119$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 53c | 114$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 64c | 113$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Over | 46c | 108.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 25c | 104$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 21c | 97.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 212 | 31.1%66 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Over | 65c | 92.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Over | 65c | 92.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 26c | 81.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 36c | 73.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 65.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Over | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa8…e33ebacked Over | 65c | 61.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 27c | 55.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 39c | 44.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Under | 55c | 32.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 49c | 28.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked Over | 49c | 27.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…66febacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)Team Secret won
- LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.