Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Liberty Flames vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae8cd29d34917801471b7ffb5452f418161a4eb1217a639fa1dfa8ff08e8b20d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,478 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 10,097$5,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,874.25 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 48c | 9,698$4,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,032.52 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 7,853$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 3,353$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.58 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 2,999$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.72 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 2,680$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.52 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 48c | 2,603$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.51 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 2,042$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.16 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 1,947$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.9 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 1,557$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.5 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 1,225$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.71 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 48c | 1,033$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.93 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 781.41$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.03 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 602.75$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Over | 48c | 555.21$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 48c | 525$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 30c | 496.33$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.9 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 468.81$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.03 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 52c | 416.2$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.78 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 413.03$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Under | 52c | 374.66$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.89 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 52c | 348.74$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Under | 63c | 314.87$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Over | 48c | 229.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…0497backed Over | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 187.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.93 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534c…70f1backed Over | 47c | 126.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 48c | 126.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1379…e6b8backed Over | 51c | 108.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 48c | 99.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…a0bdbacked Over | 49c | 99.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 48c | 98.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…23a9backed Over | 51c | 94.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 88.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b7…6f17backed Under | 65c | 76.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 48c | 72.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 71.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 48c | 68.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Over | 48c | 62.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 64c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 48c | 61.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Under | 54c | 59.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 52c | 50.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 48c | 50.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 49c | 50.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Under | 78c | 48.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 30c | 46.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Under | 54c | 43.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 51c | 42.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 52c | 41.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 48c | 41.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 49c | 40.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 49c | 40.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 49c | 40.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Under | 52c | 40.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed Over | 48c | 34.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 48c | 33.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Under | 53c | 31.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Under | 55c | 31.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 51c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9532…8315backed Under | 50c | 29.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 29.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x290e…0783backed Under | 53c | 28.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 52c | 27.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Over | 41c | 25.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Over | 50c | 25.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5736…fdbabacked Over | 44c | 24.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 52c | 24.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ca…7432backed Under | 65c | 22.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e33…8732backed Over | 48c | 20.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liberty Flames vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 147.5this page
- Liberty Flames vs. Nevada Wolf PackNevada Wolf Pack won
- Liberty Flames vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 143.5Under won
- Liberty Flames vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 145.5Under won
- Liberty Flames vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 146.5Under won
- Spread: Liberty Flames (-1.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-1.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-3.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-6.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-7.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.