TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nevada Wolf Packof Nevada Wolf Pack, Liberty Flames
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,566 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b47…d615backed Liberty Flames49c26,239$12,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,829.1174051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Nevada Wolf Pack51c23,950$12,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,735.353158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Liberty Flames49c17,177$8,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,416.9284147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack51c11,620$5,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,747.182,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Nevada Wolf Pack51c6,486$3,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,178.2746246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Nevada Wolf Pack51c6,486$3,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,178.1417643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Liberty Flames49c5,376$2,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,632.895,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Liberty Flames49c5,171$2,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,528.7112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Liberty Flames50c3,378$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.8529845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Liberty Flames50c1,992$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.196342.9%27 W · 36 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nevada Wolf Pack51c1,943$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.433,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nevada Wolf Pack42c1,816$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.515,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Nevada Wolf Pack52c1,667$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.1615858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Liberty Flames52c1,144$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.766446.9%30 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Liberty Flames49c1,113$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.161450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nevada Wolf Pack45c879.91$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.9525145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nevada Wolf Pack50c804.03$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.531,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Nevada Wolf Pack52c762.51$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.013369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nevada Wolf Pack46c728.27$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.181,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35016147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Nevada Wolf Pack48c670.11$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.0952843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Nevada Wolf Pack50c514.77$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.3940755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nevada Wolf Pack51c302.06$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.053,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Nevada Wolf Pack51c285.48$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.895959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack51c285.48$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.895457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack50c262.68$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3430152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack54c257.01$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2210144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Nevada Wolf Pack45c242.33$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2853635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Nevada Wolf Pack50c239$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.57258.3%42 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Nevada Wolf Pack51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9862451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Liberty Flames50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Liberty Flames50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Nevada Wolf Pack50c194.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1822047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5070…6c47backed Nevada Wolf Pack52c193$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.641844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Nevada Wolf Pack51c191.72$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.946261.3%38 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Liberty Flames57c162.38$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0519958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Nevada Wolf Pack53c153.65$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2121850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Nevada Wolf Pack52c153.2$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5322250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77a7…bb11backed Nevada Wolf Pack50c146$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack51c144.72$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.915660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Nevada Wolf Pack51c144.72$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.917354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x960d…4629backed Nevada Wolf Pack51c144.72$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.913375.8%25 W · 8 L+8.0wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+46.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack50c144.72$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3612254.1%66 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Nevada Wolf Pack50c144.72$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.368245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Nevada Wolf Pack50c144.72$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.364454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb81f…2fd6backed Nevada Wolf Pack50c144.72$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.362951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack50c144.72$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.366152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Nevada Wolf Pack50c144.72$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.362462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Liberty Flames49c142$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.583842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Nevada Wolf Pack51c140.76$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9758652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x534c…70f1backed Nevada Wolf Pack50c132.48$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.093441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Nevada Wolf Pack51c132.13$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0329650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Nevada Wolf Pack63c117.84$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9824748.2%119 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack51c115.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.834252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Liberty Flames53c110.86$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5810650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Nevada Wolf Pack51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0412054.2%65 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Nevada Wolf Pack51c97.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6616650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3eb…b057backed Nevada Wolf Pack52c95.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.75850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Nevada Wolf Pack54c73.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.784257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Nevada Wolf Pack52c67.51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.733058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Nevada Wolf Pack50c59.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.746056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Liberty Flames41c57.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.731,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Liberty Flames50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2548551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Nevada Wolf Pack42c46.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9913445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Nevada Wolf Pack40c44.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7722756.4%128 W · 99 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Nevada Wolf Pack66c43.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8722953.7%123 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Liberty Flames59c41.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.185265.4%34 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nevada Wolf Pack45c41.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.761,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Liberty Flames49c40.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Liberty Flames50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Liberty Flames50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Liberty Flames55c39.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.437753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Nevada Wolf Pack51c39.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.977558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Nevada Wolf Pack52c35.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.395757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2225…1838backed Nevada Wolf Pack51c33.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.194951%25 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Liberty Flames50c32.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.367553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Nevada Wolf Pack48c31.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.414334.9%15 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack51c30.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0622656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Nevada Wolf Pack51c30.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.066654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Nevada Wolf Pack51c30.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.064959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc187…7ac1backed Nevada Wolf Pack50c30.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.361758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed Liberty Flames59c29.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.433357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Liberty Flames57c29.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.714245.8%65 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2363…1ac3backed Nevada Wolf Pack51c28.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.993467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack70c28.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5113456.7%76 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Liberty Flames49c27.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3869350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Nevada Wolf Pack49c25.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1419454.6%106 W · 88 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Liberty Flames56c25.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.387856.4%44 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Liberty Flames76c22.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.357655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nevada Wolf Pack51c21.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.714,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb87e…3389backed Liberty Flames59c20.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.91266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Liberty Flames50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9279…ed18backed Nevada Wolf Pack52c19.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.524100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Liberty Flames55c18.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.227258.3%42 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.