TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elise Mertens vs Mirra Andreeva

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mirra Andreevaof Elise Mertens, Mirra Andreeva
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$277,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$322,486

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,993 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd5d4…8b32backed Elise Mertens1c18,921$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.031,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Elise Mertens17c18,232$3,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,128.9693740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Mirra Andreeva74c13,537$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,537.4948851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Elise Mertens20c13,376$2,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,662.438,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a30…34b1backed Elise Mertens10c8,844$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.1116961.5%104 W · 65 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Elise Mertens11c7,021$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.37,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Elise Mertens2c5,835$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13672132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce9…61e5backed Mirra Andreeva71c5,545$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.8811547%54 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Mirra Andreeva70c4,500$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35059348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Elise Mertens5c4,474$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.349737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Elise Mertens11c3,543$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40057249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Mirra Andreeva73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.7394068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Elise Mertens32c2,702$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.553655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Elise Mertens15c2,514$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.988,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Elise Mertens14c2,351$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32516743.7%73 W · 94 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Elise Mertens6c2,112$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.532250%11 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Elise Mertens27c2,037$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Mirra Andreeva73c2,026$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.9579855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Elise Mertens27c2,010$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.651,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0262…85bebacked Mirra Andreeva75c2,009$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.941485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Elise Mertens27c1,877$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.892,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Elise Mertens20c1,755$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.536,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Elise Mertens27c1,655$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.721,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ae…c975backed Elise Mertens24c1,265$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021537.2%80 W · 135 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Mirra Andreeva73c1,200$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32445457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Elise Mertens25c1,143$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.663,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Elise Mertens27c1,113$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.511,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Elise Mertens13c1,048$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020938.3%80 W · 129 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Elise Mertens28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Mirra Andreeva72c999.96$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9941060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Mirra Andreeva73c958.9$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.912944.2%57 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Elise Mertens7c936.96$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.162,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf57c…66febacked Elise Mertens9c922.22$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839727.8%27 W · 70 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Elise Mertens14c911.4$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.014,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Elise Mertens26c864.01$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.1536244.8%162 W · 200 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3957…35f0backed Mirra Andreeva73c821.92$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9217372.3%125 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Mirra Andreeva73c821.92$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9260158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cb…d211backed Mirra Andreeva73c800$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21610358.3%60 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Elise Mertens11c791.84$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.392,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8713…4007backed Mirra Andreeva73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.934269%29 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Elise Mertens27c670.08$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.923,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Elise Mertens28c666$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4830436.2%110 W · 194 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4538…7d5cbacked Elise Mertens13c590.88$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7617738.4%68 W · 109 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Elise Mertens9c525.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.74,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Elise Mertens11c503.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.827,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa12b…a7aebacked Elise Mertens2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Elise Mertens27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13534242.4%145 W · 197 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Elise Mertens27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c8…3c52backed Elise Mertens25c486.32$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5820234.2%69 W · 133 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Mirra Andreeva73c480$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.642743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Elise Mertens10c453.57$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.326426.6%17 W · 47 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7173…7a4cbacked Elise Mertens7c413.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.727240.3%29 W · 43 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Mirra Andreeva73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9671165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Elise Mertens25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021937.9%83 W · 136 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Elise Mertens14c361.18$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4953736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Elise Mertens28c360.96$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0737421.9%82 W · 292 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Elise Mertens28c359.29$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.67244.4%32 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2784…e60abacked Elise Mertens28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Elise Mertens14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5068157.6%392 W · 289 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Elise Mertens17c349.3$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.71,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…13e5backed Elise Mertens27c347.22$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.754443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Mirra Andreeva73c342.21$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.216250%31 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Elise Mertens25c330.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8857447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Elise Mertens11c305.36$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.597338.4%28 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2842…fb48backed Mirra Andreeva73c301.03$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2821159.7%126 W · 85 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Elise Mertens28c289.76$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.132133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x810c…51cabacked Mirra Andreeva73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.973865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Mirra Andreeva73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9723761.6%146 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e5c…c29bbacked Mirra Andreeva73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9710551.4%54 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Mirra Andreeva74c266.82$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0416050.6%81 W · 79 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a4…4068backed Elise Mertens7c259.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Elise Mertens27c256.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.397,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2901…f4d6backed Elise Mertens27c255.92$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.886535.4%23 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0787…43d5backed Elise Mertens25c255.68$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9211748.7%57 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Elise Mertens14c253.52$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.719351.8%100 W · 93 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed Elise Mertens8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030653.3%163 W · 143 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Elise Mertens11c233.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.53,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Elise Mertens9c215.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3871021.3%151 W · 559 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed Mirra Andreeva73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4846562.6%291 W · 174 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Elise Mertens27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5454746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Elise Mertens9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812134.7%42 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec6…0e3abacked Mirra Andreeva70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606361.9%39 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Mirra Andreeva73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5427755.6%154 W · 123 L-1.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Elise Mertens13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510816.7%18 W · 90 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Elise Mertens14c191.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8150442.7%215 W · 289 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Elise Mertens13c188$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4466139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc94…a77dbacked Elise Mertens14c179.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.171931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ba81backed Elise Mertens8c175$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1447431.9%151 W · 323 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Mirra Andreeva73c149.38$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3323670.8%167 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfac9…14e8backed Mirra Andreeva73c140.47$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.931050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa761…46c1backed Mirra Andreeva73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Mirra Andreeva73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9973458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…3c44backed Mirra Andreeva74c134.11$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.871346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Mirra Andreeva75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3327871.6%199 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99d5…2149backed Elise Mertens25c132$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3318540%74 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Mirra Andreeva65c128$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3580341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6e…99eabacked Elise Mertens27c111.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.212516%4 W · 21 L-6.7wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-71.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Elise Mertens10c105.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.592,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e0…a311backed Elise Mertens28c102.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.572040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Elise Mertens27c100.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.