TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbc94…a77d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 50 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.74
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Geneva Open: Valentin Royer vs Francisco Comesanabacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.21
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Henri Squirebacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.55
Bordeaux: Moise Kouame vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$15.83
Tunis: Kimmer Coppejans vs Edas Butvilasbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.61
Parma: Zhibek Kulambayeva vs Anna-Lena Friedsambacked Zhibek Kulambayeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Paris: Veronika Podrez vs Sloane Stephensbacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+131.4%+$39.43
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovicbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$31.35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elise Mertens vs Mirra Andreevabacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.17
Bengaluru 2: Dominik Palan vs Maan Kesharwanibacked Maan Kesharwani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.59
Bengaluru 2: Maximus Jones vs Sidharth Rawatbacked Sidharth Rawat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodarbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.73
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+400%+$90.37
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+258.3%+$52.27
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+239.1%+$78.6
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Daniel Altmaier vs Alexander Zverevbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.95
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.82
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.14
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$244.12
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+49.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$37.81
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 3 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.