Boxing · resolved market
La Velada del Año 6: La Parce vs Fabiana Sevillano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x894b1e9f8cb1119329837a04915b4a1e77d38b2d00e7a48574e0872606d74aa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Parceof Parce, Sevillano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3861…b1babacked Parce | 77c | 1,817$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sevillano | 25c | 1,533$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.31 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Sevillano | 23c | 936.47$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d7…4952backed Parce | 68c | 826.19$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Sevillano | 54c | 380.26$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9245…c593backed Sevillano | 62c | 319.27$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Parce | 53c | 312.77$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Parce | 44c | 311.24$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Parce | 79c | 288$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…3e8ebacked Sevillano | 57c | 277.29$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.94 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf1…df74backed Sevillano | 58c | 260.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Parce | 71c | 258.42$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Parce | 48c | 257.04$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 36cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Parce | 41c | 251.95$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.33 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…deecbacked Parce | 49c | 203.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…7744backed Parce | 51c | 194.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4565…6549backed Parce | 50c | 188.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…6dafbacked Sevillano | 53c | 187.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f73…5b47backed Sevillano | 58c | 173.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…ea13backed Parce | 58c | 173.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…eb96backed Parce | 77c | 155.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af3…dad9backed Sevillano | 69c | 144.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…c665backed Sevillano | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked Sevillano | 61c | 139.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Parce | 43c | 135.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a22…e365backed Sevillano | 57c | 122.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked Parce | 79c | 120.57$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…3f67backed Parce | 53c | 120$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Parce | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Parce | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…9e5fbacked Parce | 76c | 88.02$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…61b4backed Parce | 43c | 88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Parce | 43c | 87.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked Sevillano | 67c | 86.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…78debacked Sevillano | 37c | 84.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Sevillano | 68c | 80.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Sevillano | 57c | 75.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Sevillano | 54c | 73.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc346…c83bbacked Sevillano | 28c | 71.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f74…475dbacked Parce | 49c | 70.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Parce | 37c | 65.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sevillano | 31c | 58.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…44d0backed Parce | 45c | 55.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd915…e3f7backed Parce | 42c | 52.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf7…afa8backed Sevillano | 57c | 52.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Parce | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed Sevillano | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Sevillano | 48c | 47.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Sevillano | 47c | 45.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…1417backed Parce | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b69…4350backed Parce | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0a…caf5backed Parce | 46c | 41.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Sevillano | 57c | 39.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…f873backed Sevillano | 61c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…1ec4backed Parce | 43c | 36.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fb…ff14backed Parce | 41c | 36.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f06…4c0bbacked Parce | 50c | 35.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…8e8cbacked Sevillano | 57c | 35.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…380dbacked Sevillano | 57c | 34.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Sevillano | 57c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4445…1156backed Parce | 79c | 31.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Parce | 77c | 31.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe629…7eabbacked Parce | 43c | 29.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…2ffebacked Sevillano | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Sevillano | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…a4f4backed Parce | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…2813backed Sevillano | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Parce | 44c | 24.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Sevillano | 56c | 23.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed Sevillano | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Parce | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7e…5e6ebacked Parce | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…3e31backed Parce | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…ca52backed Parce | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34a…6e39backed Sevillano | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Parce | 69c | 18.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…1d40backed Sevillano | 70c | 18.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfa…21b1backed Parce | 80c | 16.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…a04ebacked Sevillano | 71c | 15.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.