UFC · resolved market
Will Jose Miguel Delgado win by KO or TKO?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x715f7eee6239a4c2fe44e4a258d2a39fe3a21264334dd8382a1111a6daf9b481
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,008 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 47c | 1,573$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.56 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 53c | 994$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.82 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 47c | 677.59$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.58 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 48c | 520$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Yes | 51c | 407.84$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Yes | 52c | 384.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Yes | 54c | 200$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…c3f0backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked Yes | 52c | 134.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Yes | 58c | 103.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…76e8backed Yes | 53c | 97.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7531…49efbacked Yes | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -7.6wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…dfc9backed No | 58c | 33.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0a…caf5backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…0314backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jose Miguel Delgado win by KO or TKO?this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)Jose Miguel Delgado won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.