Fifa International · resolved market
Will Algeria vs. Uruguay end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4161eb19857dfc9173b7ca6d642564d7126abfc90c8c0a4ad153f58734e6b3e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 48c | 9,800$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.97 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 7,413$3,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.21 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed No | 73c | 4,110$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.08 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,665$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.38 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 1,667$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.15 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 34c | 1,079$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.27 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 900$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 482.78$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.96 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Yes | 56c | 441.69$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.47 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 379.72$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.99 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 24c | 371.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 53c | 368.28$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.88 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 72c | 339.7$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.51 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 26c | 339.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.19 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 303.57$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.57 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 47c | 294.98$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.48 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 292.87$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.24 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 32c | 281.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.92 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 72c | 245.29$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 70c | 226.93$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb336…5091backed Yes | 35c | 190.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7754…e39abacked No | 65c | 190.72$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 67c | 186.84$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 25c | 173.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 28c | 156.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed No | 46c | 95.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 72c | 90$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 26c | 87.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 45c | 85.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 73c | 79.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 28c | 64.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0a…caf5backed No | 42c | 59.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 58.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…580fbacked Yes | 52c | 57.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 26c | 52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 39c | 50.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…37d3backed Yes | 40c | 47.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 34c | 39.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d6…961abacked No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 71c | 34.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed No | 34c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 40c | 31.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 71c | 29.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 284 | 35.9%102 W · 182 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 40c | 28.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 73c | 27.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 26.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595f…be0bbacked Yes | 66c | 24.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7007…c296backed Yes | 75c | 14.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Algeria vs. Uruguay end in a draw?this page
- Will Algeria win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will Uruguay win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.