TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Italy vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,716 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c7,328$2,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,476.824,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under22c3,856$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.4736850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over78c3,846$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.213167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over78c2,564$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.16550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over70c1,740$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5224266.7%28 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c1,581$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.4876048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%0 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over65c1,240$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.6713454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over58c1,237$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.7322656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over65c1,162$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.793647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over79c1,067$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.032661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52014246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under22c999.19$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.823,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under27c966.13$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.762,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under22c874.2$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.621,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under34c710.85$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.664,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97cd…f164backed Over75c688.86$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2206…e347backed Under25c688.86$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over46c667.9$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.92646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under39c652$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.792,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under23c648.51$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5346536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over67c630.6$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.069124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under39c621.12$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.131,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over48c600$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3152347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under42c596.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25083153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over51c591.85$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.471442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over33c570.47$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.211526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over45c560$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3082540%10 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22522846.5%106 W · 122 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20010438.5%40 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under23c499.98$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.492,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Over79c480.08$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.821172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under21c479.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.813643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under42c443$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7619946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over77c262.82$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3230463.5%193 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over71c260.59$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.57714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-79.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x458c…ee3ebacked Over78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.411877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over78c215.21$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3524653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over78c215.21$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3523749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29ed…66f7backed Over48c206.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under25c202.64$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6630220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4667354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12bd…8f48backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Over77c193.97$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.973974.4%29 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03c0…9f76backed Over49c178.25$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.491163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Over58c173.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.477350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Over69c172.46$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4613653.7%73 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over49c164.38$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0135658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9da…f7d9backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Under29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over62c129.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.035139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2125554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2112254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc47…a8d3backed Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under21c112$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.523357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe154…b1f8backed Over76c111$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf6…09a8backed Over77c110$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.33100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5516535.2%58 W · 107 L+15.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over50c102.62$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.316643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Under45c102$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.82729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under52c102$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.041833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2215945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7963…78a1backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under26c95.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.19955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Over59c84.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.853250%16 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under23c84.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.482,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc92b…aa18backed Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under50c80.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.131,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over67c74.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.789759.8%58 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over48c73.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3228964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Under30c72.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8523355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over71c67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.713836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-41.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over69c65.25$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2363745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Over77c64.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.731450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under21c64.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.551,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Over78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3864…a1b8backed Over51c64.03$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.641735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.215859.5%94 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Under51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over77c58.34$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2386455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Over67c58.06$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.398354.2%45 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Over78c53.55$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7817553.7%94 W · 81 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4625…f7f6backed Under49c53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.97812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-62.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6323665.3%154 W · 82 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.519958.3%116 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.54,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2518926.5%50 W · 139 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Over77c49.35$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.354344.2%19 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under23c48.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.265538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed Over48c46.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.252642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd797…692dbacked Over48c41.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x399c…6191backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.824667.4%31 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1e3…4f06backed Over63c40.71$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.062560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb2…9e4ebacked Over78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2015341.2%63 W · 90 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.