Fifa International · resolved market
Italy vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50d213e5e3d1ed63c9729308c62a01ef5eba2b7f2b4792c366b53f8dbcaea9b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 8,974$4,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,032.18 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 54c | 8,071$4,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,358.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 3,818$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.96 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 2,222$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.48 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 49c | 2,055$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.55 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over | 45c | 2,047$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.34 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…bc24backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 26c | 1,700$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 76c | 1,308$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.43 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 38c | 1,180$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.06 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 47c | 1,169$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.6 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 22c | 1,128$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 46c | 1,055$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 53c | 781.37$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 53c | 768.23$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.16 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 21c | 703.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Over | 50c | 649.93$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 47c | 639.83$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.11 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Over | 52c | 634.62$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 34c | 580.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.73 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 54c | 530.2$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.31 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e73…db00backed Under | 48c | 414.58$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Over | 55c | 409.09$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 24c | 394.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 46c | 369.11$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.32 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 364.02$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.9 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Over | 22c | 352$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 23c | 344.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Under | 63c | 318.39$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 72c | 281$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 46c | 280$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 46c | 280$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 48c | 248.42$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.44 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 73c | 240.14$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed Over | 53c | 235$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Over | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 48c | 206.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 24c | 206.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 16c | 201.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…0bd5backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…2000backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b1…69d2backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…6750backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 36c | 198.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…b409backed Over | 54c | 197.42$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 65c | 196.84$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Over | 51c | 194.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…69dfbacked Under | 46c | 193.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fd…0962backed Over | 54c | 193.01$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…ae0ebacked Under | 47c | 191.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Over | 52c | 190.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2e…c61ebacked Over | 54c | 187.58$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744a…525abacked Over | 54c | 187.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…7258backed Under | 46c | 186$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6220…b0d3backed Under | 46c | 186$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc90…7b0bbacked Over | 54c | 186$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5290…d85ebacked Under | 46c | 185$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 52c | 184.62$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 323 | 56%181 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81e8…66e3backed Under | 47c | 181.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc719…32e9backed Under | 46c | 179$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ee…ac0dbacked Over | 54c | 177.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4644…6cecbacked Under | 46c | 177$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a7…ca97backed Over | 54c | 177$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ec…2fd5backed Over | 54c | 171.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb08…9f10backed Under | 46c | 171.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a3…0394backed Over | 53c | 170.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 30c | 165.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 39c | 164.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…15dcbacked Under | 48c | 151$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 52c | 141.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 53c | 132.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 128.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 124$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Italy vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5this page
- Italy vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Italy vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Italy vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Italy vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.