Fifa International · resolved market
Italy vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55c41d8e35cd307dcff421d3d24760ba78f76a29390167fe137702db2a40da4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 7,401$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.38 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 64c | 4,687$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.57 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 64c | 4,654$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.56 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 36c | 3,123$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.67 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Yes | 37c | 3,000$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Yes | 40c | 2,013$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.35 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,749$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.79 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 20c | 1,700$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.84 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 1,248$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.92 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 63c | 1,144$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.16 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed No | 64c | 1,129$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 61c | 999.89$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.69 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 62c | 972.6$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.6 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 64c | 937.64$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.64 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 37c | 810.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed No | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 61c | 759.86$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.5 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 591.29$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.83 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed No | 63c | 571.43$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 61c | 480.94$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.16 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…5a49backed No | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 408.76$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed No | 63c | 332.97$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 39c | 299.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed No | 68c | 294.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 39c | 257.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed No | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5b…a4d9backed No | 64c | 212.5$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 36c | 186.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 76c | 183.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d953backed Yes | 37c | 177.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed No | 63c | 173$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…15d4backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 79c | 138.1$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Yes | 21c | 128.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 72c | 124.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 19c | 112.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked No | 62c | 77.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 37c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 64c | 71.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 36c | 67.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 63c | 65.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…9fe3backed No | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee33…1822backed Yes | 20c | 62.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 63c | 59.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed No | 62c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed No | 64c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked No | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…7757backed Yes | 38c | 38.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 39c | 34.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 38c | 33.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 61c | 31.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd430…d313backed No | 64c | 30.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6e…3a28backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…3db9backed Yes | 40c | 26.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7345…7cf5backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…ecebbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Italy vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Italy vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Italy vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Italy vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Italy vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.