MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e6159388db037f2e030526f6941b1c947f329fbaad0118d69b0e4cbb5db2e3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 43c | 53,965$23,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,201.49 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…b7b3backed Under | 59c | 50,623$30,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,503.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 57c | 16,143$9,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,861.72 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 41c | 15,554$6,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,377.12 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 57c | 11,822$6,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,051.99 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 7,194$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.98 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 41c | 6,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 57c | 4,690$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.06 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 60c | 3,985$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.32 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 40c | 2,613$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.26 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 41c | 2,400$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.62 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 59c | 2,030$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.42 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 59c | 1,950$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 1,790$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.41 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 6c | 1,620$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 61c | 1,482$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.91 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 42c | 1,351$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.12 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 42c | 1,246$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.14 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Under | 57c | 1,221$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.05 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 57c | 1,160$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.35 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 58c | 916.85$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Over | 40c | 899.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.03 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 40c | 873.75$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.5 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 40c | 780$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.95 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 40c | 770$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.7 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 58c | 760.02$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.66 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 41c | 731.22$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.81 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 41c | 704.88$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.7 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 41c | 663$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.83 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 40c | 473$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 12c | 471$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 41c | 447.35$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 57c | 438$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 57c | 403$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.29 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 41c | 384.05$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.46 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 61c | 377$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.79 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa448…3046backed Over | 41c | 342$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 40c | 339.01$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.96 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 42c | 323.6$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.91 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 42c | 323.6$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.91 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 316.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.17 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 39c | 310.8$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.48 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 298.49$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 41c | 270$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 39c | 268.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 44c | 250.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 41c | 247$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34e…c973backed Under | 59c | 212.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.96 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 41c | 195$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 41c | 182.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Over | 9c | 180.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 57c | 139.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 42c | 134$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 57c | 119.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 119.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Over | 41c | 118$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 42c | 113.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Over | 40c | 111$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…26a0backed Under | 77c | 109.05$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 59c | 108.63$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 59c | 96.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 58c | 95.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 59c | 93.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 42c | 93.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 59c | 89.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 58c | 85.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Under | 58c | 85.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 39c | 80.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Over | 41c | 78.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…79ddbacked Over | 42c | 65.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 41c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 40c | 63.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 40c | 44.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9f…10cabacked Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Over | 38c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 58c | 40.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…779fbacked Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 58c | 38.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 40c | 37.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 41c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked Over | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Over | 42c | 32.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 28.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Over | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 396 | 52.8%209 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…ea61backed Under | 68c | 26.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 57c | 22.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 3.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.