MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c0176b5b5941b48ad9f88b7018d9ef852d631b0dc94905998689a4c8b670f6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $333,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $337,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $333,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 200,000$103,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,983.99 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 48c | 93,278$44,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,366.29 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over | 52c | 33,333$17,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,333.14 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 50c | 33,219$16,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,602.99 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 48c | 31,250$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,250 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b9…dd41backed Over | 53c | 30,418$16,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,121.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 26,186$12,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,612.41 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 20,485$9,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,652.41 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 19,730$9,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,057.35 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 48c | 12,818$6,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,665.35 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 12,560$6,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,409.31 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Under | 47c | 12,136$5,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,382.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 12,023$6,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,011.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 48c | 8,855$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,604.6 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 11c | 8,299$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.9 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Under | 47c | 6,685$3,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.98 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 47c | 5,887$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.17 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 4,133$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.82 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 3,297$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.53 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 49c | 3,200$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 48c | 3,191$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.57 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Under | 47c | 1,930$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 53c | 1,772$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.28 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 1,552$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.48 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 1,442$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.95 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 47c | 1,365$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.45 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 53c | 1,154$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.54 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 80c | 1,130$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.61 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,044$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.92 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 1,024$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.7 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Over | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 48c | 872.56$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.73 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 48c | 828$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.24 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 53c | 768.61$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.36 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 49c | 735.96$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.96 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 49c | 734.79$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.14 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 700$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 25c | 692$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 48c | 623.72$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.26 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 48c | 568.87$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.81 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 513.31$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.05 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 47c | 499.96$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.98 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 470.31$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.73 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Over | 53c | 450$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 47c | 385$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.05 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 53c | 373.42$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.91 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 48c | 371.22$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.22 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 65c | 347.77$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed Under | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd304…3ed2backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 26c | 260.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Over | 9c | 202.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 52c | 194.08$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 52c | 192.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…0c62backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 48c | 185.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Over | 53c | 185.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 53c | 182.22$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 63c | 169.3$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Under | 49c | 146$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 146$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 140.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 49c | 138.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 49c | 121.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 48c | 119.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Over | 53c | 117.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 48c | 116.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Under | 48c | 103$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 48c | 84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Under | 48c | 81.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 48c | 80.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 74c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 48c | 78.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 47c | 74.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…48b9backed Over | 53c | 73.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Over | 27c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Under | 47c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 64c | 66.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 49c | 51.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 48c | 51.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 3.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.