TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,925
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,117

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,925 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under47c2,998$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.7422643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c1,570$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.44,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c870.15$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.229,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c826.77$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.074,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under46c649.97$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.991,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under44c626.7$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.141,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Under22c550.4$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.095425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under48c405.21$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1765045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Over53c382.28$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.6710252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over53c380.59$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.8834953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over52c374.28$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.0528949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over53c355.32$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6329849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over54c349.61$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.821,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over54c349.61$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.821,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cb…9b76backed Over52c268.7$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.252937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c185.8$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.471,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Under45c181.97$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8918450.5%93 W · 91 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Over54c180.42$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.195547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8361151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over54c180.06$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8351647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under44c177.32$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1893543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over60c151.75$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.932,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Under49c140$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.611354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under44c133.74$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over53c113.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3242352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Over52c97.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6214649.3%72 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over54c94.27$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.361,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0911145%50 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over54c90.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4153348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacce…f4e8backed Over53c82.51$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.78862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7d8…f4f1backed Under49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.21662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4324…174bbacked Under50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over53c73.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4736852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over51c70.78$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3714444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x440b…7551backed Over51c63.09$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.91812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick53cpaid-75.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd196…6d5dbacked Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe933…0abcbacked Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-68.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Over53c46.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.575964.4%38 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4fc5…1ea2backed Over51c43.68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under47c43.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4539448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over52c39.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9619550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under43c38.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7438947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x082a…a540backed Over51c38.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ca…40adbacked Over51c38.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.791163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over54c36.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Over54c36.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9112752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed Over54c36.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.913135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Over54c36.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.919848%47 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over54c36.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9159250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over54c36.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9141753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over54c36.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9158953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over54c36.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9156447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Over54c36.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.915653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over53c36.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9749249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Over54c35.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.246747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2768…6bc6backed Over51c33.97$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.651154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447b…3213backed Under49c32.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f4b…0336backed Under49c31.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under49c29.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5421649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fac…82b0backed Under49c29.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70cb…cba4backed Under49c28.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a9…73debacked Under49c28.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.772857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x479a…f7f1backed Under45c27.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.331450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over54c27.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4337853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba2…f46bbacked Over54c27.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.433237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Over53c25.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7711346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0acf…6557backed Over51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8299…7926backed Over51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d42…9eadbacked Over51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over55c22.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0753349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over58c22.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3465762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45ed…8af4backed Over51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e8a…c31dbacked Over51c20.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5a…545fbacked Under50c20.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.09837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec6c…65e9backed Over51c19.76$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.