NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d55f3171c0c933b40a91781508ffad70f415eee437ad548a32daf3017f58ce5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Timberwolves | 43c | 16,112$6,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,850.23 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Magic | 54c | 13,665$7,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,285.48 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Magic | 57c | 12,349$7,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,309.86 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 43c | 10,891$4,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,683.33 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 58c | 10,274$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,353.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Timberwolves | 41c | 8,070$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.61 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Timberwolves | 40c | 8,059$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.32 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Magic | 52c | 5,342$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.77 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 61c | 5,288$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.46 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 4,888$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.22 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Timberwolves | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.51 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 2,902$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,720$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.21 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Magic | 52c | 2,243$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.54 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Timberwolves | 44c | 2,166$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.17 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Timberwolves | 43c | 1,953$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.42 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,837$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.96 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 1,609$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.64 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Magic | 57c | 1,503$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.59 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Magic | 64c | 1,223$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.69 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,200$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…d555backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,155$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Magic | 59c | 1,077$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.67 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Magic | 56c | 977.57$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.04 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Magic | 54c | 947.28$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.9 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 923.77$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.67 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Magic | 59c | 922.73$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.32 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 58c | 834.87$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Timberwolves | 43c | 813.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Timberwolves | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 665.85$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.97 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Magic | 60c | 655.55$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.26 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Magic | 51c | 542$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.58 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Magic | 52c | 524.08$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.56 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Magic | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Magic | 75c | 492.5$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 432.7$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.45 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Magic | 58c | 414.45$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.07 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…7b24backed Timberwolves | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 356.08$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.09 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…628ebacked Magic | 59c | 350.66$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…b5efbacked Magic | 59c | 339.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.11 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Magic | 59c | 307.07$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.77 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Magic | 60c | 282.65$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.06 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…25a1backed Magic | 59c | 281.05$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Magic | 52c | 239.64$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.03 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Timberwolves | 44c | 235.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Timberwolves | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 228$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Magic | 58c | 197.54$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 31c | 181.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Timberwolves | 36c | 167.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…fc1abacked Magic | 62c | 162.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Timberwolves | 42c | 145.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 138.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Magic | 52c | 138.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Timberwolves | 44c | 120.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Magic | 58c | 115.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Magic | 58c | 106.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Magic | 52c | 106.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Magic | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Magic | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Magic | 52c | 92.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 46c | 91.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Magic | 57c | 89.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Timberwolves | 44c | 88.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Magic | 58c | 87.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…ccc9backed Magic | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Magic | 52c | 80.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb0…b6f5backed Magic | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Timberwolves | 39c | 79.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Magic | 61c | 78.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…399fbacked Magic | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Magic | 52c | 72.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Magic | 61c | 69.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Timberwolves | 37c | 66.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Timberwolves | 40c | 60.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Timberwolves | 48c | 59.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Magic | 59c | 58.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Magic | 59c | 58.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Magic | 52c | 58.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Magic | 57c | 56.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Magic | 58c | 56.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Timberwolves | 43c | 54.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Magic | 51c | 54.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Magic | 52c | 53.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…1a96backed Timberwolves | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Magic | 56c | 44.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Timberwolves | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Magic | 60c | 41.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c01…59a0backed Magic | 60c | 40.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Timberwolves | 44c | 39.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Magic | 59c | 38.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Timberwolves | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Timberwolves | 42c | 34.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffcf…ec0ebacked Magic | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…db09backed Magic | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +7.6wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +37%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Magic | 63c | 30.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-18.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-20.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Timberwolves vs. MagicMagic won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 240.5Over won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.