TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 12.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,822 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes61c879.09$539 inLost-$538.6965762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No38c858.66$325 inWon+$533.4579650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No43c299.98$130 inWon+$169.992,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba7…a340backed Yes60c185.73$111 inLost-$111.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No46c168.12$78 inWon+$90.45,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Yes57c119.83$68 inLost-$68.39654.2%52 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Yes62c105$65 inLost-$65.195260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked No38c86.95$33 inWon+$53.817151.5%88 W · 83 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44d5…1a5bbacked No64c69.13$44 inWon+$25.223231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked No49c65.39$32 inWon+$33.6477549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3a8…a423backed Yes47c60.03$28 inLost-$28.211010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-76.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe2…883ebacked Yes58c50.59$29 inLost-$29.241145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes47c30.68$14 inLost-$14.356050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No41c30$12 inWon+$17.737753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed No46c23.71$11 inWon+$12.840546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.